In all honesty, I believe we have as much a chance of going to the WS this year as we did last year. Sulham is right, the key componenet is how effective Foulke will be when he gets back. That will either:
A. Dictate Schill stays in the bullpen, weakening the rotation or,
B. Allow Schilling to move to the rotation with a solid, if unspectacular bullpen
Two wildcards, however:
1. The emergence of Hanses, Papelbon, Delcarmen in determining the strength of the 'pen. Hansen has a chance to be this year's K-Rod, an adequate set-up man to Foulke, or if pressed, into a closer's role
2. Schilling, if moved to the rotation, does he have enough gas in that ankle of his? At this point, I really am feeling hard pressed to say I have a lot of faith in that being the case.
I voted for losing in the ALCS, as I just think we don't have the pitching we had last year.