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Aaaalllll AAboooard, the D--Train!

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Postby Payne Dailey » Sat Jul 30, 2005 10:00 pm

kcs261 wrote:So many Willis doubters. I'm tired of arguing about it. But the second half implosion argument is all overblown. The guy had a few bad games in a row -- it happens. However, I think his ERA will be in the 3's the rest of the way, he will get 20 Ws, and be solid...


we'll see in september
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Postby baseballnewb » Sun Jul 31, 2005 10:27 am

batters hit .301 off of him for the month of June and he has a 7.14 ERA in July, he hasn't just had a 'couple bad starts'. In fact he has had 5 good starts since May 11th and 5 bad starts with 4 mediocre starts. He's been very average for a pitcher in a 12 team league since mid May.
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Postby kcs261 » Sun Jul 31, 2005 1:45 pm

Since May 11th, I'm counting 11 quality starts and 4 bad starts. And 3 of his 4 bad starts, have been in July. Willis will be fine. He hit a bump in the road and it happens.

That said, I wouldn't be thrilled at starting him against STL. However, Rolen, Walker, and Sanders will all be out of the lineup. So it might not be as bad as you would normally think.
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Postby raiders_umpire » Sun Jul 31, 2005 1:51 pm

kcs261 wrote:Since May 11th, I'm counting 11 quality starts and 4 bad starts. And 3 of his 4 bad starts, have been in July. Willis will be fine.
.




quality starts as described by MLB will not get you a win in fantasy baseball.... nothing too great about a 4.5 era...
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Postby kcs261 » Sun Jul 31, 2005 1:55 pm

Well, I'm in 1st in my league. And it's an extra competitve league all made up of attorneys -- who hate losing more than anything. Moreover, if you discount those 4 starts, his numbers are still low. That said, it's a h2h league, not roto. So I'm more concerned about the number of quality starts vs bad ones. And 11/4 is very good. But in roto, I can see where you'd have more complaints.
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