Well my point is exactly that statistically the numbers are too close.
The only situation Aramis was going to get a walk was the one that Dusty created. Maybe I'm missing your point.
It appears that you're being a little sensitive to Dusty remarks. I'm not criticizing him; I'm second-guessing. There's a difference. I'm also not saying that I'm in the right. I brought this topic up to hear other opinions. I'd be happy to change my mind if somebody could sway me, but so far there hasn't been much fact or logic to convince me of my original stance. So to that point, why do you assume that it was the right move? Because the Cubs won?
Those probabilities %s are too close to mean anything
to me other than you have about the same chance either way you go.
Tony was going to walk Aramis either way, so take him out of the equation.
Is it impossible for Dusty to escape unfair criticism even when he makes the right move