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Matt Clement: Anyone Worried?

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Matt Clement: Anyone Worried?

Postby 1Bogie » Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:26 pm

Seems like he gets shelled every (3) outings. Is anyone benching him on any matchups? I just aquired him in a trade and suggestions on how to play him would help.
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Postby giambiformvp » Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:45 pm

Well, I didn't start him today against the Yankees, well, because it's the Yankees and I usually never start anyone against the Yanks.
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Postby johntudor » Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:54 pm

I was actually just looking at Clement's split stats, and the only real difference is between day and night games - he's been much better in day games this year and over his entire career. I don't think you should bench him based solely on that, though. I'd sit him against the Yankees (see today) and maybe the Rangers, and that's about it unless something changes.
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Postby BobbyRoberto » Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:59 pm

Clement is what he is. He's not an elite pitcher but he's on a good team that will score runs, so once they Red Sox don't have to face the Yankees for a while, he should be fine. When I drafted him, I took him for the Wins and K's, hoping for an ERA around 4.00 and a whip around 1.30. After today's blow-up, he'll be even worse than that in the ERA and WHIP department, but he has 10 wins already.
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Postby beltrans_boy » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:01 pm

Throughout his career, Clement has always walked too many batters for his own good. I stayed away from Clement in all my leagues this year, simply because I don't believe any pitcher with control problems can survive in that division.

His BB/9 is down dramatically this year, but I have a hard time believing that it's going to stay this low. Clement has ALWAYS had control problems. The reason why he got lit up today was because he walked 5 batters in 2+ innings. It wasn't because he was facing the Yankees.

Clement is nothing but a 3rd or 4th starter on most fantasy squads until he can get his walks down.
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Postby jbones733 » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:06 pm

i beg to differ, hes not an ACE, but you can get away w him as a 3rd starter in H2H , he has had dominant outings, only a few hiccups, & vs yanks, u cant be that mad , he still K'd alot also, & has a great record

i think hell be fine in the 2nd half
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Postby davidmarver » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:08 pm

Clement's numbers aren't any different than last season; he just has sick run support (6.99 R/G). Once that falls back down to earth he'll be the same 'ole Matt Clement.
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Postby Laean » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:09 pm

i don't play the matchups with him.

i don't know if the same thing will happen again this season, but last year his ERA at allstar break was around 2.90, but finished the season with a 3.50 or so. but barring that from happening again, i'd just use him everyday. regardless of his ERA (a 4.00 shouldn't be too surprising), he'll get the Ws and Ks.
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Postby beltrans_boy » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:17 pm

davidmarver wrote:Clement's numbers aren't any different than last season; he just has sick run support (6.99 R/G). Once that falls back down to earth he'll be the same 'ole Matt Clement.

Actually, his BB/9 was down significantly (until today). However, I don't expect that to continue. You're right, he's going to regress to the mean. The fact that he was walking almost 4/game in the NL Central doesn't really bode well for long-term success in the AL East. Today was an example.
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Postby BobbyRoberto » Sat Jul 16, 2005 5:48 pm

In the interest of doing a bit of research on a blah Saturday afternoon, I looked at Clement's starts this season.

Clement vs. "Bad" teams (winning percentage below .500--Tampa Bay, Seattle, Cincinnati, and Pittsburgh). These 4 tams have combined for a 143-215 win-loss record (.399), 4.4 R/G, and a .735 OPS.

4 starts, 4-0, 1.24 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 9.3 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 6.0 K/BB.

Clement vs. "Average" teams (winning percentage near .500--Toronto, Oakland, Oakland, Philadelphia, and Toronto again). These teams, counting Toronto and Oakland twice have combined for a .508 winning percentage, 4.7 R/G, and a .745 OPS.

5 starts, 1-1, 5.17 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 6.3 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, 1.7 K/BB.

Clement vs. "Good" teams (winning percentage of .520 and above--Yankees, Orioles, Orioles, Rangers, Braves, Yankees, Orioles, Cardinals, Rangers, Yankees). These teams have combined for a .552 winning percentage, 5.2 R/G, and a .796 OPS.

10 starts, 5-2, 5.16 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 2.2 K/BB.

Clement has dominated the bad teams and been less-than-stellar against the good teams. In 19 starts, he's faced the following teams:
Yankees--3 times
Orioles--3 times
Toronto--2 times
Oakland--2 times
Texas--2 times
All others-once each

For the season, he's had a tough schedule, with only 4 starts against the bottom-feeders. It'd be nice to see him get a few more starts against the Tampa Bays and Kansas City Royals of the league.

His next few starts:
@CHW (ack!)
@TB
vsKC
@MIN
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