Will Aaron Rowand have a strong 2nd half? - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2014 Fantasy Baseball Cafe
100% Deposit Bonus for Cafe Members!

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Will Aaron Rowand have a strong 2nd half?

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

Will Aaron Rowand have a strong 2nd half?

Postby ChoneJohn » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:14 pm

He's been riding the pine on my first place team for the entire season, outside of a couple of weeks early on. I know that he's traditionally a 2nd half kind of guy, but he's produced1 below his totals from last year so far, I was curious what you guys thought about his 2nd half. Can we hope to see 40+ RBI/10-12HR?
Go Tigers!
ChoneJohn
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 408
Joined: 3 May 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby dkakridas » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:21 pm

I don't see why not. He had 15 HR and 48 RBI after the break last year and a hit for a much higher average. About double the amount the SB's he has now can be expected. I think he is a fine 2nd half performer unless there is a major trade and he is shipped out of that lineup. Of course if he goes to the Yankees, that would be a different story :-)

The Chi Sox have some great young OF's just about ready in Anderson, Sweeney and Young in that order. It's just a matter of time before one of them or Rowand is sent packing for pitching.
dkakridas
College Coach
College Coach

User avatar

Posts: 254
Joined: 8 Mar 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Austin, TX (born, raised in Boston)

Postby nuggets » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:00 pm

It think 30 RBI and 10 HR is realistic. Last year he got 32 (46%) of his RBI from the leadoff spot. This year he is batting 3rd, 5th and 6th. It looks like he will bat 5th for the rest of the year. Will that lead to more RBI opportunity or will Thomas and Konerko "steal" his RBIs? Hard to predict.

Interesting note: Rowand is drastically a better hitter with RISP this year and for his career and may be a good case for a "clutch" player.
nuggets
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar

Posts: 3342
Joined: 14 Mar 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby Half Massed » Sun Jul 10, 2005 4:08 pm

i like rowand for a 2nd half surge this year. his numbers at the break last year and this year were more or less comparable. (lower avg. less hrs, more sbs, same OBP this year than last year) i expect him to perform similar to last year's 2nd half. he's a good buy low candidate since people don't value him highly and his name value isn't so high.
Image
Half Massed
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterEagle EyePick 3 Weekly WinnerSweet 16 Survivor
Posts: 4084
Joined: 27 Feb 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Busting ghosts

Postby BobbyRoberto » Sun Jul 10, 2005 5:13 pm

Aaron Rowand, month-by-month OPS:
April, 2004--.721
May, 2004--.821
June, 2004--1.061
July, 2004--.934
August, 2004--1.131
September, 2004--.706

April, 2005--.620
May, 2005--.858
June, 2005--.730
July, 2005--.442

Rowand started hitting better last year in June, then it carried over into July and August. I realize it's arbitrary to use each month as a cut-off point, but that's the easiest way to do it.

This year, his June wasn't all that good and he's been crap in July so far (small sample size, but still--crap).

For his career, Rowand has these year-by-year OPS numbers:
2001--.816 (in 123 at-bats)
2002--.692
2003--.779
2004--.905
2005--.719

Last season looks like an outlier.

Also, last season, Rowand's ground ball to fly ball ratio (G/F) was 1.33, which was the lowest of his career and helps explain his good slugging numbers. This year, he's at 2.23. He's hitting a lot more ground balls than last year.

To quote the Magic 8 Ball: Outlook Not Good.
Roger Angell: I was talking with Bob Gibson and I said: 'Are you always this competitive?' He said: 'Oh, I think so. I got a three-year old daughter, and I've played about 500 games of tic-tac-toe with her and she hasn't beat me yet.'
BobbyRoberto
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar
CafeholicCafe Writer
Posts: 1269
Joined: 19 Apr 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Bothell, Washington

Postby bigh0rt » Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:25 pm

Rowand doesn't really excite me at all for the rest of this year.
Image
bigh0rt
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterGraphics ExpertMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeInnovative MemberCafe MusketeerWeb SupporterPick 3 Weekly Winner
Posts: 24815
(Past Year: 360)
Joined: 3 Jun 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Crowding The Plate


Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues


Today's Games
Wednesday, Aug. 27
(All times are EST, weather icons show forecast for game time)

St. Louis at Pittsburgh
(12:35 pm)
Texas at Seattle
(3:40 pm)
Tampa Bay at Baltimore
(7:05 pm)
Washington at Philadelphia
(7:05 pm)
Boston at Toronto
(7:07 pm)
NY Yankees at Detroit
(7:08 pm)
Atlanta at NY Mets
(7:10 pm)
Chi Cubs at Cincinnati
(7:10 pm)
Cleveland at Chi White Sox
(8:10 pm)
Oakland at Houston
(8:10 pm)
Minnesota at Kansas City
(8:10 pm)
Milwaukee at San Diego
(9:10 pm)
LA Dodgers at Arizona
(9:40 pm)
Miami at LA Angels
(10:05 pm)
Colorado at San Francisco
(10:15 pm)

  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact