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some interesting musings

Postby HOOTIE » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:39 am

Coors had it's 1st 1-0 game ever today. It took 847 games, the longest streak ever for any park.

Beltre is hitting .368 in his last 23 games.

Helton has quietly hit in 17 of last 18 games.

Manny is 2nd all-time in slams. He is 6th all-time in rbi/ab ratio. Pretty impressive. Probably the best rbi guy in the last 30 years.

Palmeiro probably is the most underrated player in the last 20 years. Surely the least thought of guy in the 500 hr club.

The Nats are by far the luckiest team this year. The luck won't keep up, as they will regress towards the mean. Looking at Pythagorian, (basing w-l records on run differntial). The Nats have actually been outscored this year, but are 51-34, but in reality, should be more like 42-43. They have real lucky in 1 run games. Expect the Nats to cool down a bit. The 2nd luckiest team are the WhiteSox, about 7 more wins then they should have. They could regress some too, as luck has helped them a bit.
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Re: some interesting musings

Postby go_jays_go » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:46 am

HOOTIE wrote:Coors had it's 1st 1-0 game ever today. It took 847 games, the longest streak ever for any park.

Beltre is hitting .368 in his last 23 games.

Helton has quietly hit in 17 of last 18 games.

Manny is 2nd all-time in slams. He is 6th all-time in rbi/ab ratio. Pretty impressive. Probably the best rbi guy in the last 30 years.

Palmeiro probably is the most underrated player in the last 20 years. Surely the least thought of guy in the 500 hr club.

The Nats are by far the luckiest team this year. The luck won't keep up, as they will regress towards the mean. Looking at Pythagorian, (basing w-l records on run differntial). The Nats have actually been outscored this year, but are 51-34, but in reality, should be more like 42-43. They have real lucky in 1 run games. Expect the Nats to cool down a bit. The 2nd luckiest team are the WhiteSox, about 7 more wins then they should have. They could regress some too, as luck has helped them a bit.


Very interesting stats there Hootie.

I've noticed the Nats stat too, how they have been outscored. It seems virtually impossible, but like you said they have been so lucky. It's kind of annoying to see them winning it all the time by one run.

Also sucks that I don't have Cordero :-t
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Postby so0perspam » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:47 am

All-around a very good and informative post. ;-D
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Postby Fireball Express » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:04 am

To add another musing; Citizens Bank Park had it's first 1-0 game today as well.
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Postby BobbyRoberto » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:26 am

More ballpark facts:
The Reds' ballpark is thought of as a hitter's park, but according to ESPN ballpark stats, it's 23rd out of 30 in park effects for scoring runs. Last year, the park was 27th. It is above-average for HR, but not runs.

The Diamondbacks park was 9th-best for runs scored last season (1.068), 5th in 2003 (1.215), but is last this year (0.540). I just can't believe that's accurate, but that's what it says.
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Postby Irish » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:38 am

Stats are meaningless unless progressively informative upon the derivative mean of absolution. ;-D :-o
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Postby WharfRat » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:27 am

Something else I noticed yesterday: The six division leaders in the majors yesterday scored a total of 5 runs. All three first-place teams in the NL got shut out, and the Sox and Sox didn't do much better. :-D
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Postby wrveres » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:51 am

..

After batting .. .123 in April and .188 in May, Aaron Boone has batted .278 over his last 31 games. He also has 5 HR's 15 R, 15 RBIs and 2SB over the same span.

Has anybody mentioned Clevelands soft schedule during the 2nd half? ;-7
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Postby LooseCannon » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:29 am

WharfRat wrote:Something else I noticed yesterday: The six division leaders in the majors yesterday scored a total of 5 runs. All three first-place teams in the NL got shut out, and the Sox and Sox didn't do much better. :-D


INteresting.,didn't notic that one ;-D
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Re: some interesting musings

Postby HOOTIE » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:49 pm

HOOTIE wrote:The Nats are by far the luckiest team this year. The luck won't keep up, as they will regress towards the mean. Looking at Pythagorian, (basing w-l records on run differntial). The Nats have actually been outscored this year, but are 51-34, but in reality, should be more like 42-43. They have real lucky in 1 run games. Expect the Nats to cool down a bit. The 2nd luckiest team are the WhiteSox, about 7 more wins then they should have. They could regress some too, as luck has helped them a bit.


Quick update. Since July 4th, the Nats are 2-10 in 1 run games, losing 9 straight 1 run games. I wonder if any Nat fans saw this coming?
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