How much longer can Pedro last?

[BeefSandwiches]

His bio claims he is only 33 and in some of the trade threads people are talking about how he is getting up there in years and probably doesn't have a ton left in him. I am very on the fence with this and as a Pedro owner in a keeper league I hope he has at least 4-5 years remaining.

Schilling - 38 (39 in Nov)
RJ - 41 (42 in Sept)
Maddux - 39 (just turned in April)
Clemens - 42 (43 in Aug)

I know I am missing some of the older SPs off the top of my head, but this is a start...

Does Pedro have it in him to be at the top of his game for another 5-7 years?

[bigh0rt]

For fantasy purposes, I think he'll be among the elites for another year or two after this one, but I wouldn't bank on much past that, no matter what ballclub he's playing for. Anything he gives you past that, I'd consider an added bonus.

[Yoda]

Pedro will pitch well into his 40s provided he is healthy. It's pretty clear that top pitchers are able to maintain their career even if they don't blow hitters away. His breaking ball and change up are still the best I've ever seen from any pitcher. He knows how to pitch and that is how you get hitters out.

[chadlincoln]

Pedro will pitch well into his 40s provided he is healthy. It's pretty clear that top pitchers are able to maintain their career even if they don't blow hitters away. His breaking ball and change up are still the best I've ever seen from any pitcher. He knows how to pitch and that is how you get hitters out.

Agreed big time, but for some reason everyone in my league doesn't think he's worth keeping. That's fine with me though.

[acsguitar]

I think he'll pitch till he's 38

[rlee]

He's got a 4 yr contract w/ the Mets and he's already said that he'll retire when it is over. The question is whether or not he'll make it to that 4th year.

[Secret Avatar]

I think Pedro's bum shoulder will do him in before old age does, but even so he's got a few more years in the tank. Do I think he'll be dominant in 2007? No, but he'll be good.

Personally, I'm continually amazed at how concerned people are about projecting performances two and three years out. Who cares?? Win your league this year and worry about winning 2006, 2007, and 2008 when those years arrive. By the time 2007 roles around, they'll be a 100 new breakout starters and 100 implosions. My point is that they'll be PLENTY of talent to go around. No need to be concerned about what Pedro might do in 2007.