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Derek Lee

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Postby beltrans_boy » Fri Jun 24, 2005 3:49 pm

reiser wrote:so does it make sense to focus on on whether he has gotten lucky on a few hits (my assertion: who cares?)


So you admit that luck does play a role in batting average then...right?

:-?
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Postby beltrans_boy » Fri Jun 24, 2005 4:03 pm

My contention is the following:

1) Derrek Lee's Batting Average on Balls in Play is abnormally high for a player of his skill set, and that we can most likely expect that number to regress from .425
2) As a result of this expected regression, Derrek Lee's batting average will drop.

Call me crazy, but I do not believe that Derrek Lee has developed the ability to maintain a hit rate of close to 43% for the entire season. Please be sure to rub it in my face at the end of the year if he can do it.

:-D
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