I think there's a good chance that Choi will outproduce Green this year if he's given a substantial amount of PT. In a standard 5x5 league, you've gotta give the edge to Green though, you're right.
i'm curious as to why you believe that.
recent hot streak aside, choi just doesn't have anything like green's track record (three 40+ homer seasons), and choi has moved to
dodger stadium this year (still a pitchers park IIRC), while green has moved away
to a pretty decent hitter's park in Arizona. whats more, i like the arizona lineup more, especially once greenie gets bumped up to the 4 or five hole ahed of glaus and behind luis gonzalez. his BA will be anywhere in the .285-.300 range.
choi, OTOH, hasn't had a year with more than 15 HR (although he'll certainly blow that away this season, as he is alrady at 13), and he's headed for a "career year" with his .261 post-hot streak BA. he's a fine player and i really like his, especially at cost, in terms of real baseball, but he is
getting real playing time this year. he's only sat out 7 games, and yet his periferal numbers are very mediocre for someone with as many homers as he's got. 29 RBI/24 Runs makes me think that he just doesn't have the supporting cast to push him to elite status this year. i figure he'll end up hitting around .250-.260 with 25-30 homers, 80 rbi and 75 runs, all in 145 GP. green is gonna blow that away.
so bb, do you disagree with my assessment of choi? will this truly be a breakout year for him? or am i just over-estimating what green will do this year?