nuggets wrote:His BB:K is right at the '01 level now. One main reason I have the question.
His IsoP has dropped since '01, can you explain?
His K/BB rate is at '01 levels right now, largely because of that early season slump. He simply wasn't seeing the ball well. It's too early to tell whether or not he's reverted to old habits. Let's wait until the end of the season before we come to any conclusions about his plate discipline.
His Isolated Power has dropped, but his HR rate has climbed:
2004 - 16.38
2003 - 20.28
2002 - 17.21
2001 - 17.25
2000 - 19.27
With the exception of 2003, his HR rate has been steadily increasing since 2000 (his first full season in the majors), but his IsoP has dropped.
So what does this tell me? His doubles and triples rates have dropped (except in 2003). Let's see if this is the case:
2004 - 23.75
2003 - 13.36
2002 - 17.21
2001 - 12.84
Yup, it's true. Over the last 4 years, Chavez has become more of a HR hitter than a gap doubles and triples hitter. What's the reason for the dropoff in 2003? Your guess is as good as mine, but I'm guessing it's not significant since he improved on those numbers in 2004.
Look for Eric to have a huge 2nd half. His K/BB ratios should be right in line with (or close enough to) his 2004 numbers, and he should improve on that 16.38 AB/HR ratio as well.
Isolated power is just a very small part of the big picture. You can't really look at individual metrics, you have to look at all of them in order to see the big picture.
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