Pierre and Godzilla
assuming he keeps close to the same pace and if the phillies make the playoffs there's a strong chance abreu could win it in the NL. otherwise i'd say pujols. i highly doubt lee will win it, mostly because i don't think he will keep it up. in the AL it could be tejada or tex, if one of their teams makes the playoffs. it won't be a-rod unless he finishes with monster numbers and the yankees turn it around, and even then... hard to say at this point though for either league. i think it'll be close in both leagues, which is why where the team ends up could push one or the other over the edge.
Darkhorse - B. Roberts and Abreu.
i can almost say for certain that roberts won't even be in the main consideration... but now that i said that watch him get hot again for like 3 months and show me up