Another H. Reynolds analysis of fantasy baseball. - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2014 Fantasy Baseball Cafe
100% Deposit Bonus for Cafe Members!

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Another H. Reynolds analysis of fantasy baseball.

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

Another H. Reynolds analysis of fantasy baseball.

Postby Mercer Boy » Mon May 30, 2005 6:26 pm

Straight from SC not 2 minutes ago.

Keep Matt Clement.
Keep Kenny Rogers.
Keep Miguel Cabrera.
Trade Adrian Beltre.
Trade Eric Chavez.
Trade Curt Schilling.

His definition of trade and keep is totally wrong for fantasy baseball. I absolutely love how SC makes it a huge teaser before the segment starts, and then it makes no good fantasy sense.

Harold...understand this - NO ONE WILL TRADE FOR THESE PLAYERS FOR ANYTHING GOOD!!! :-B :-B :-B

He also claimed that he is in the ESPN fantasy league...if he is, he's probably dead last. :-t
Image
The One, The Only, The Incomparable Mercer Boy.
MySpace blog (updated 6/21 - Pirates walkout.)
Mercer Boy
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar
Eagle EyePick 3 Weekly WinnerLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 3455
Joined: 22 Oct 2003
Home Cafe: Football
Location: New Castle, PA

Postby jellyroll » Mon May 30, 2005 6:29 pm

he's a baseball analyst not a fantasy baseball analyst
jellyroll
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 527
Joined: 6 Jun 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: West Indies

Postby davidmarver » Mon May 30, 2005 6:29 pm

jellyroll wrote:he's a baseball analyst not a fantasy baseball analyst

Even that's borderline.
Image
davidmarver
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
Cafe WriterMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyePick 3 ChampionLucky Ladders Weekly WinnerTrivia Time Trial Monthly Winner
Posts: 6154
Joined: 11 Jan 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: 5.5 Hole

Postby Mercer Boy » Mon May 30, 2005 6:33 pm

Yes, but they drum him up to be a fantasy analyst by having him talk about what you should do with your fantasy team.

For him, keep means a player is doing good, trade means a player is doing bad. OK, why doesn't he just say the person is doing good or bad? You should already know this because we watch the games and see what they are doing on our teams. But, we shouldn't be dumb enough to trade them off if they are doing bad because we won't get fair value - unless you really need the space on your team. You just have to hope they return to form or make a half-decent charge so that someone will buy on them.

If SC would just not slant this as a fantasy segment, I would have no problem with it.
Image
The One, The Only, The Incomparable Mercer Boy.
MySpace blog (updated 6/21 - Pirates walkout.)
Mercer Boy
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar
Eagle EyePick 3 Weekly WinnerLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 3455
Joined: 22 Oct 2003
Home Cafe: Football
Location: New Castle, PA

Re: Another H. Reynolds analysis of fantasy baseball.

Postby beltrans_boy » Mon May 30, 2005 6:35 pm

Mercer Boy wrote:He also claimed that he is in the ESPN fantasy league...if he is, he's probably dead last. :-t


Don't be so sure. I'm pretty sure my sister would have a hard time finishing dead last in "the" ESPN fantasy league.
[size=10]"Men are apt to mistake the strength of their feeling for the strength of their argument." [/size]
beltrans_boy
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar

Posts: 3092
Joined: 15 Apr 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: crusing down the street in my six-fo'

Postby so0perspam » Mon May 30, 2005 6:38 pm

so0perspam says:
Trade Matt Clement.
Keep Kenny Rogers, nobody wants him.
Keep Miguel Cabrera.
Trade Adrian Beltre if anyone still sees him having value.
Keep Eric Chavez, too much upside.
Stash Curt Schilling on the DL.
ImageImage
so0perspam
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
Mock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeCafe Musketeer
Posts: 8653
Joined: 17 Dec 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Bay Area

Postby Mercer Boy » Mon May 30, 2005 6:43 pm

so0perspam wrote:so0perspam says:
Trade Matt Clement.
Keep Kenny Rogers, nobody wants him.
Keep Miguel Cabrera.
Trade Adrian Beltre if anyone still sees him having value.
Keep Eric Chavez, too much upside.
Stash Curt Schilling on the DL.


See, you should be doing the segment...the operative word is others seeing high value in these guys that Reynolds says to trade.

Although, I still kind of like Clement. He could be pretty good this year I think, so I would keep him (but once again, I'm a rookie at this, so I may have no idea :-)).
Image
The One, The Only, The Incomparable Mercer Boy.
MySpace blog (updated 6/21 - Pirates walkout.)
Mercer Boy
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar
Eagle EyePick 3 Weekly WinnerLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 3455
Joined: 22 Oct 2003
Home Cafe: Football
Location: New Castle, PA

Postby gws226 » Mon May 30, 2005 6:44 pm

I don't agree with keeping K.rog, but if you can get decent value for any of those other players now I'd agree & move them.

I do agree on his suggestion to move these players if you can. He's advising you to get something for him now, because he thinks come July their situations will not have improved....... you'll get ziltch for them then, and you'd wasted a roster spot for all those weeks.

There was a big discussion regarding Lance Berkman when he came back... the argument of are you selling him high or low if you traded him the day he came off.
-->If you traded him that day, you wouldn't get 100% value for him, but if he didn't come back to form and you could of sold of him then for 80% of his anticipated production, you could possibly gain without assuming any risk. What is worth now? Owners have to bench him because he doesn't command much trade value on the market.

Right now if you traded any of these guys your not gonna get 100% value for them obviously, but if you get 70% of what everyone thought he'd do this year back, and he continues to play at his current rate... you've sold high and should be happy. Of course if he suddenly turn it around, you only got 70 cents on the dollar back for him, but you took none of the risk the other manager had to endore.

Dollar cost averaging vs. Risk.

I own hafner and I missed that window 2 weeks ago... now I have to either hold em or drop him to waivers. Beltre is not playing well, but he's not killing your roster right now... but I'd say the other 2 Schilling (will he be back?) Chavez (will he turn it around?) the values of these players will be nothing compared to what they are now 6 weeks from now.
If you found my advice helpful, please help me
gws226
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 994
Joined: 4 May 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby max1889 » Mon May 30, 2005 6:49 pm

davidmarver wrote:
jellyroll wrote:he's a baseball analyst not a fantasy baseball analyst

Even that's borderline.

I'd still say he's entertaining. As far as the fantasy keep/trade segment, it looks like they mislabeled it and it should be hot/not.
max1889
College Coach
College Coach


Posts: 200
Joined: 11 May 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby so0perspam » Mon May 30, 2005 6:53 pm

gws226 wrote:I don't agree with keeping K.rog, but if you can get decent value for any of those other players now I'd agree & move them.


Wrong, wrong, wrong and wrong. You can jibber jabber about your conceptual idea of selling high on Rogers, but as a Rogers owner, you seriously have no idea. I've put him out there on the market in many of my leagues, and you know what? Best offer I got was Jason Lane. Mench and Sizemore are on the WW right now too in those leagues.


Mercer Boy wrote:Although, I still kind of like Clement. He could be pretty good this year I think, so I would keep him (but once again, I'm a rookie at this, so I may have no idea :-)).


True, he's alright, but way too overhyped right now. A pitcher with a 1.32 WHIP has sell written all over him. Only reason he's 6-0 is because in his 11 starts, the BoSox have averaged 6 runs. So basically, if his ERA was 5.53 right now, he'd most likely still be 6-0. :-o
ImageImage
so0perspam
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
Mock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeCafe Musketeer
Posts: 8653
Joined: 17 Dec 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Bay Area

Next

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Byuilsiyka, joiingds, louelladg18 and 10 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues


Today's Games
Wednesday, Apr. 23
(All times are EST, weather icons show forecast for game time)

Arizona at Chi Cubs
(12:10 pm)
San Francisco at Colorado
(2:20 pm)
Texas at Oakland
(3:10 pm)
Houston at Seattle
(3:35 pm)
Kansas City at Cleveland
(3:40 pm)
LA Angels at Washington
(7:05 pm)
Toronto at Toronto
(7:05 pm)
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
(7:05 pm)
Baltimore at Baltimore
(7:07 pm)
Chi White Sox at Detroit
(7:08 pm)
NY Yankees at Boston
(7:10 pm)
St. Louis at NY Mets
(7:10 pm)
Minnesota at Tampa Bay
(7:10 pm)
indoors
San Diego at Milwaukee
(8:10 pm)
Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
(10:10 pm)

  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact