Nomar4prez wrote:Wins are a lot less predicatable than homeruns. A hitter has direct control if he hits a HR or not, but a pitcher has no control if he gets the win or not(unless he pitches a perfect game).
In a H2H sense the exact opposite is true. A pitcher, unless a reliever, won't win more than 2 games a week for your team and judging by matchups you can make an accurate guess on whether or not your pitcher gets the win.
For homeruns, it's far more difficult. Hitters can hit 6 in a week, which will probably win the category for you, or hit none, which certainly doesn't help. Trying to predict when a hitter will hit a homerun is more difficult than predicting the winning pitcher in a ballgame.
For this reason I tend to overlook HR's in most H2H drafts and focus on other production categories.