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Estrada unlucky?

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Estrada unlucky?

Postby WittyC » Sat May 14, 2005 3:29 am

I don't have a better option at C on my hard-luck team (featuring such famous 2005 flops as Eric Chavez, Aubrey Huff, Shawn Green, Vernon Wells, Bobby Crosby and Ben Sheets), and there's really nothing on waivers right now.

But for some reason I'm pretty comfortable with him. His K rate is actually better than last year, both in K/AB and K/BB. Plus, he's hitting better with RISP than with bases empty, which I always consider a good thing.

So, I've just concluded that he's been unlucky so far. Everyone agree with this assessment, or are there some stats I'm overlooking that could help explain his funk thus far?
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Postby Conner » Sat May 14, 2005 3:56 am

nuggets wrote:He's not that great.

You've got to have one of the lowest words per post ratios I've ever seen. not sure why I've noticed that, to be honest...

Anyway...Estrada has been a bit unlucky. About a .265 batting average on balls in play, and a very good .220 line drive percentage (league average is about .170). last year, his BABIP was about .350, and the year before, it was about .310. It shouldn't be as low as .260 right now.
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