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Is John Patterson the real deal?

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Postby Yoda » Fri May 06, 2005 5:15 pm

He looks great so far. It's always tough to say whether a young pitcher can keep it up or not. He has a lot of talent so if he doesn't wear down or get injured, he may have a big year.

I'm wondering who is a better bet right now. Bedard or Patterson? :-?
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Postby RJCarrot » Fri May 06, 2005 5:24 pm

nsulham wrote:Would you guys take Patterson or his Nats teammate Livan?


I have both.. =)

I think Livan for K's and CG's and Patterson for Whip/Era

Both will do niceley on Wins.
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Postby Mustangs989 » Fri May 06, 2005 5:29 pm

RJCarrot wrote:
nsulham wrote:Would you guys take Patterson or his Nats teammate Livan?


I have both.. =)

I think Livan for K's and CG's and Patterson for Whip/Era

Both will do niceley on Wins.

Not really sure why you'd rather have Livan for K's, Patterson's K/9 is usually around 9 while Livan's is usually around 6-7. Anyways between the two I'd take Livan.

Between Bedard and Patterson I'd probably go with Patterson, when they are close I usually take the one that is in the NL.
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Postby autografik » Fri May 06, 2005 5:40 pm

The real question here is the level of risk you assume by taking Patterson vs the amount of comfort you'll find in Livan's certainty. First, I don't assume that every man is a gambling man. Nor that we all seek out the anticipation involved in a leap of faith, or the ecstasy inherent in the landing. You may be of a mind and reasoning which knows that deliberate thought can only assist your decision within the limits of your knowledge, and no further - and therefore you will always tend towards that which you know, or towards that which you know you do not know. But a question like this depends mainly on factors that you do not know what it is that you do not yet know, and therefore the decision itself may as well be a crapshoot.

So I'd take Patterson, without a doubt. Livan's a solid option to have in the back half of your rotation, and he'll bring you some wins, but he's not a low-ERA or WHIP pitcher. Patterson has the stuff, and the relatively low risk he carries is mitigated by the rewards. If he dissapoints, the chances are that it won't be cataclysmic, and you'll only be slightly worse off for not having taken Livan. But if he shows himself to be the first real DC ace, you'll be a happy man.

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Postby Birds05 » Fri May 06, 2005 5:56 pm

So are you guys that have Patterson starting him tomorrow?

I still can't decide...
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Postby beltrans_boy » Fri May 06, 2005 5:58 pm

Birds05 wrote:So are you guys that have Patterson starting him tomorrow?

I still can't decide...


Of course. Why not?
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Postby Birds05 » Fri May 06, 2005 6:02 pm

His was shaky last outing and SF has scored the mosst runs in the NL so far this year.
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Postby beltrans_boy » Fri May 06, 2005 6:07 pm

Birds05 wrote:His was shaky last outing and SF has scored the mosst runs in the NL so far this year.


Like I said, why not? He's not gonna throw a no-hitter, but if you're going to have weak knees starting him every time he faces a decent (yes, SF is just decent) offense, what's the point in having him on your roster...?
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Postby Birds05 » Fri May 06, 2005 6:22 pm

Tomorrow I have Carpenter, Colon, Mussina, Patterson as possible starters. I can't pitch them all due to starts limits in my league. I'm expecting Patterson to have an off day pretty soon, so I'm hedging my bets.

By the numbers, SF has the best O in the league so far this year. So in my mind, that accounts for being better than just decent.
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Postby Birds05 » Sat May 07, 2005 6:18 pm

Man, I'm glad I didn't start Patterson. I Think he got it out of his system and will be solid in his next start.
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