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2005 Home Runs Per Game

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2005 Home Runs Per Game

Postby josebach » Fri Apr 29, 2005 3:53 pm

Last year, on ESPN.com, they were comparing the 2004 Home Runs per game, Slugging percentage and some other power related stats to stats collected in previous years. The flawed theory hypothesized that because of the steroid policy implemented last year, we would see a significant decline in power numbers. Because we now know that the steroid policy last year was nothing more than a smoke screen, there is now a steroid policy in affect that most believe has actually stopped players from juicing. Does anyone know of a resource that is keeping track of these numbers for the 2005 season?

It just seems to me like home runs are really down so far and I wanted to see some statistical evidence to back it up.
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Postby beltrans_boy » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:00 pm

In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.
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Postby geaux » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:03 pm

my roommate and I have been calling it the year of the warning track flyout. We have the MLB Extra innings, and seen a ton of those already.
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Postby josebach » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:05 pm

beltrans_boy wrote:In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.


You're right. Don't know how I missed it the first time.

Home Runs Per Game
2004 - 1.123
2005 - .953

That's a 15% drop off. I know the season is only four weeks old, but it's still pretty interesting.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/statistics
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Postby beltrans_boy » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:11 pm

josebach wrote:
beltrans_boy wrote:In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.


You're right. Don't know how I missed it the first time.

Home Runs Per Game
2004 - 1.123
2005 - .953

That's a 15% drop off. I know the season is only four weeks old, but it's still pretty interesting.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/statistics


Guess I was wrong about the #'s...sorry, I was reading it really early at work today.
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Postby j_d_mcnugent » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:16 pm

would be interesting too look at when the season is over. right now there just isnt enough data to have much meaning. also, you need to check out previous years to put a 15% difference (or whatever it ends up being) into context. its not enough to say power stats decreased, they have to decrease more than the usual variation. over a whole season i would think 15% is a big difference though.
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Postby josebach » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:19 pm

beltrans_boy wrote:
josebach wrote:
beltrans_boy wrote:In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.


You're right. Don't know how I missed it the first time.

Home Runs Per Game
2004 - 1.123
2005 - .953

That's a 15% drop off. I know the season is only four weeks old, but it's still pretty interesting.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/statistics


Guess I was wrong about the #'s...sorry, I was reading it really early at work today.

No, you weren't wrong.

ESPN, has Home Runs Per Game per team.
So in actuality,
2004 - 2.246
2005 - 1.906

Like I said, we're less than 4 weeks into the season, but it's still worth keeping an eye on.
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Postby slomo007 » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:22 pm

Were those 2004 stats over the entire 2004 season, or just over the first 4 weeks of 2004?

This makes a big difference because many of the games played so far have been in cold/bad weather which tends to prevent HRs.
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Postby josebach » Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:32 pm

slomo007 wrote:Were those 2004 stats over the entire 2004 season, or just over the first 4 weeks of 2004?

This makes a big difference because many of the games played so far have been in cold/bad weather which tends to prevent HRs.


The entire 2004 season. You might be right about the weather, but to give you an idea...

My team last year had 271 combined home runs. That's almost 11 per week. This year so far my home run totals are as follows:
Week 1: 7
Week 2: 9
Week 3: 5
Week 4: 4 (so far)

Maybe it's just hitting me harder than some of the other teams. :-t
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Postby matmat » Fri Apr 29, 2005 5:15 pm

anyone have just april numbers? HR rates go up quite a bit over the summer, I'd imagine, perhaps even enough to overcome the average numbers quote above?
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