Last year, on ESPN.com, they were comparing the 2004 Home Runs per game, Slugging percentage and some other power related stats to stats collected in previous years. The flawed theory hypothesized that because of the steroid policy implemented last year, we would see a significant decline in power numbers. Because we now know that the steroid policy last year was nothing more than a smoke screen, there is now a steroid policy in affect that most believe has actually stopped players from juicing. Does anyone know of a resource that is keeping track of these numbers for the 2005 season?
It just seems to me like home runs are really down so far and I wanted to see some statistical evidence to back it up.
In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.
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beltrans_boy wrote:In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.
You're right. Don't know how I missed it the first time.
Home Runs Per Game
2004 - 1.123
2005 - .953
That's a 15% drop off. I know the season is only four weeks old, but it's still pretty interesting.
beltrans_boy wrote:In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.
You're right. Don't know how I missed it the first time.
Home Runs Per Game 2004 - 1.123 2005 - .953
That's a 15% drop off. I know the season is only four weeks old, but it's still pretty interesting.
would be interesting too look at when the season is over. right now there just isnt enough data to have much meaning. also, you need to check out previous years to put a 15% difference (or whatever it ends up being) into context. its not enough to say power stats decreased, they have to decrease more than the usual variation. over a whole season i would think 15% is a big difference though.
beltrans_boy wrote:In the most recent ESPN Magazine they said it was down dramatically (from well over 2.25 to at or below 1.75). It's still early, and I'm not sure of the exact numbers, but you should be able to find something on ESPN.com.
You're right. Don't know how I missed it the first time.
Home Runs Per Game 2004 - 1.123 2005 - .953
That's a 15% drop off. I know the season is only four weeks old, but it's still pretty interesting.
slomo007 wrote:Were those 2004 stats over the entire 2004 season, or just over the first 4 weeks of 2004?
This makes a big difference because many of the games played so far have been in cold/bad weather which tends to prevent HRs.
The entire 2004 season. You might be right about the weather, but to give you an idea...
My team last year had 271 combined home runs. That's almost 11 per week. This year so far my home run totals are as follows:
Week 1: 7
Week 2: 9
Week 3: 5
Week 4: 4 (so far)
Maybe it's just hitting me harder than some of the other teams.
anyone have just april numbers? HR rates go up quite a bit over the summer, I'd imagine, perhaps even enough to overcome the average numbers quote above?
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by josebach » Fri Apr 29, 2005 3:53 pm 
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