He's due for a breakout year. Besides, his curveball has a tighter spin and is more 12-6 than it has ever been. Apparently he worked on his mechanics in the offseason as well.
I'd be wary of Eaton. He's not pitching very deep into games because he's throwing lots of pitches. Look at the stats. Only pitching 6 and 5 inning games. If you want, hang onto him, but be careful, because it's only a matter of time before that ERA goes way up.
I think the 15 win projection is a bit high, although not outlandish. I'd say more toward 12 with a high-3 ERA and those K's look about right. Not a bad grab for a back of the rotation spot.
Last edited by thehat on Fri Apr 29, 2005 2:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
thehat wrote:I think the 15 win projection is a bit high, although not outlandish. I'd say more toward 12 with a mid-3 ERA and those K's look about right. Not a bad grab for a back of the rotation spot.
thehat wrote:I think the 15 win projection is a bit high, although not outlandish. I'd say more toward 12 with a mid-3 ERA and those K's look about right. Not a bad grab for a back of the rotation spot.
If Lawrence won 15 last year, Eaton can for sure.
My rationale for the lower win projection is based on SD's bullpen not being as near-perfect as it was last year. A one run lead past the sixth was about automatic for this team in '04, but it's hard to imagine them being as dominating again. That means less wins for the less dominating starters.
thehat wrote:I think the 15 win projection is a bit high, although not outlandish. I'd say more toward 12 with a mid-3 ERA and those K's look about right. Not a bad grab for a back of the rotation spot.
If Lawrence won 15 last year, Eaton can for sure.
My rationale for the lower win projection is based on SD's bullpen not being as near-perfect as it was last year. A one run lead past the sixth was about automatic for this team in '04, but it's hard to imagine them being as dominating again. That means less wins for the less dominating starters.
best pen in baseball ... I challange anybody to find a better one.
and Adam will win 15.
I have him on every damn team, and I call him my "Poor Mans Peavy" ...
Adam will win 15 ...
end of subject ...!!
Please lock this thread!! thank you very much
Last edited by wrveres on Fri Apr 29, 2005 4:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
The bullpen has actually improved. Linebrink and Otsuka will be fine, Hoffman is still a reliable closer, and they added Chris Hammond and Rudy Seanez; both have looked real good thus far. If we calculate Eaton's wins based on the bullpen he'll win 15 for sure. A few April games mean relatively nothing.
I was targeting him in most of my leagues coming into the year. I think he can approach 15 W's and probably in the neighborhood of 150 K's with an ERA under 3.90. He's a solid pitcher, but playing half of his games in PETCO really helps his value, as it does for most SD pitchers.
Guys...I'm not disputing the fact SD has an excellent bullpen. But expecting all three late inning guys to duplicate last year's phenomenal numbers is a bit of a reach. I'm not suggesting by any means they won't get the job done most of the time, but even minimal faltering will certainly impact the SP win totals of those who don't generally go beyond six innings. And Eaton has yet to show that he can maintain low enough pitch counts to go deep, so his win total could be compromised some.
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by The Guru » Fri Apr 29, 2005 1:56 am 
