thehat wrote:This is basically a rerun of my Randy Wolf post earlier this week.
Escobar lifetime: 69-67, 4.45
Jeez, he IS Randy Wolf, for all intents and purposes. Spectacular at times, but when you read the bottom line, a .500 pitcher in every respect.
Overrated, at least here.
I usually agree with you, but Escobar is a much different case than Wolf. First, escobar is an established strikeout pitcher, wolf is not. In 5 X 5 or most points leagues that instantly makes him much better than wolf. Secondly, Escobar has been bounced around starting and the pen his whole career, never having a chance to establish himself as a reliever or a starter, Wolf has been pitching as a starter for his whole career, so he would seem to have less upside in that role, as we know what he is capable of. Finally, Escobar has been getting better across the board the past few years, while Wolf has been getting marginally worse each year since 02.
While the career #'s look similar, Escobar has been improving and is finally establishing himself as a starter. Not to mention he just has better stuff than Wolf in the first place, IMO.
Just to put the money where the mouth is: Projection for Escobar:
14 W 190 IP 3.7 ERA 1.27 WHIP 185 K
Now Wolf 12W 180 IP 4.3 ERA 1.35 WHIP 130 K