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1st rounders

Postby bse53 » Mon Apr 18, 2005 1:01 pm

I was what the correlation between being a 1st or 2nd round pick in the ML draft and the success of a pitcher.
Just looking at the pitchers on my roster:
Jason Schmidt- 8th round 1991
Mike Mussina- 1st round 1990
Doug Davis- 10th round 1996
Tom Glavine- 2nd round 1984
Greg Maddux- 2nd round 1984
Bret Myer- 1st round 1999
John Thomson- 7th round 1993
Jon Lieber- 2nd round 1992
Scott Kazmir- 1st round 2002
Ted Lilly- 23rd round 1996
It appears that there is a correlation, although Schmidt proves the exception.
The point is I have these pitchers still as Free agents:
Jake Westbrook- 1st round 1996
David Bush- 2nd round 2002
John Patterson- 1st round 1996
Aaron Heilman- 1st round 2000
It would appear that Westbrook and Patterson would be solid pickups. It might be too soon for Bush and Heilman.
Of course this doesn't help with foreign players, as they do not go through the draft, ie
Livan Hernandez.
Any thoughts on this?
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Postby The Jury » Mon Apr 18, 2005 1:17 pm

All I can say is that, for the most part, the scouts are doing a good job.
[quote:4fef447375="Geek"]The odds of the AL MVP coming from the American League are looking pretty good.[/quote]
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Postby bse53 » Mon Apr 18, 2005 3:08 pm

Of the top 50 pitchers
11 didn't go through the draft
23 are 1-3rd round picks
33 are 1-10 round picks
6 picked after 10 rounds (from Carl Pavano 13th to Mark Beurhle 38th round)
I guess a more important analysis would be 1st round picks that didn't make it.
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