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Postby nuggets » Sat Apr 16, 2005 12:47 am

Don't let happen to you what happened to others last year when Dunn hit 8 homers in a week after going 0/million, many were sick of the 0-fers and didn't bother to check on him closely enough as he sat on the bench hitting HR after HR
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Postby bceagles04 » Sat Apr 16, 2005 12:57 am

ya, he is still my #2 OF (Matsui)
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Postby ccjj17 » Sat Apr 16, 2005 1:00 am

I offered Matsui/Mussina today for Dunn/C. Zambrano.

I don't think the guy will accept it but I think I'm getting the better end of the deal once Dunn heats up.

I play in a head to head league so Dunn's AVG doesn't hurt me.
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Postby bceagles04 » Sat Apr 16, 2005 1:08 am

that would be a good trade cause Matsui>Dunn but Zamb. is >> Mussina
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Postby Madison » Sat Apr 16, 2005 2:16 am

bceagles04 wrote:I cant stand the constant 0-4, 1-4, 0-3. Nights.


You knew about that going into your draft, didn't you?
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Postby Yoda » Sat Apr 16, 2005 2:37 am

Madison wrote:
bceagles04 wrote:I cant stand the constant 0-4, 1-4, 0-3. Nights.


You knew about that going into your draft, didn't you?


LOL
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Postby jjigglers » Sat Apr 16, 2005 2:38 am

Madison wrote:
bceagles04 wrote:I cant stand the constant 0-4, 1-4, 0-3. Nights.


You knew about that going into your draft, didn't you?


Good post Madison. ;-D
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Postby ramble2 » Sat Apr 16, 2005 2:38 am

Madison wrote:
bceagles04 wrote:I cant stand the constant 0-4, 1-4, 0-3. Nights.


You knew about that going into your draft, didn't you?


Yea, at this rate I'd be shocked to see Dunn hit anything over .260. Fantasy Baseball Index got this one right:

Fantasy Baseball Index wrote:...For Dunn, striking out 195 times in 568 at-bats not only makes it impossible to hit better than .266, it makes it nearly impossible to hit as much as .266. For his career, about 37 percent of the balls Dunn puts in play become hits. If he'd gotten hits on just 37 percent of the balls he put in play in 2004, he would've gotten 138 hits - he would've hit just .243.


They go on to note that he's a legit 50 HR hitter, but not a legit .266 hitter. Of course, after 8 games he's hitting what, .175? The problem, though is NOT his K rate (well, not entirely). That's at around his historical rate - around 1/3 of his at-bats. The problem is that he's not taking as many walks. Only 2 in 28 at-bats. Typically you'd expect him to have around 5 or 6 walks in that many at-bats.

This is a very small sample size, obviously, but the point is not to expect that K rate to drop. The BB rate should go up, and the average with it (though not very high).
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Postby Yoda » Sat Apr 16, 2005 2:42 am

ramble2 wrote:
Madison wrote:
bceagles04 wrote:I cant stand the constant 0-4, 1-4, 0-3. Nights.


You knew about that going into your draft, didn't you?


Yea, at this rate I'd be shocked to see Dunn hit anything over .260. Fantasy Baseball Index got this one right:

Fantasy Baseball Index wrote:...For Dunn, striking out 195 times in 568 at-bats not only makes it impossible to hit better than .266, it makes it nearly impossible to hit as much as .266. For his career, about 37 percent of the balls Dunn puts in play become hits. If he'd gotten hits on just 37 percent of the balls he put in play in 2004, he would've gotten 138 hits - he would've hit just .243.


They go on to note that he's a legit 50 HR hitter, but not a legit .266 hitter. Of course, after 8 games he's hitting what, .175? The problem, though is NOT his K rate (well, not entirely). That's at around his historical rate - around 1/3 of his at-bats. The problem is that he's not taking as many walks. Only 2 in 28 at-bats. Typically you'd expect him to have around 5 or 6 walks in that many at-bats.

This is a very small sample size, obviously, but the point is not to expect that K rate to drop. The BB rate should go up, and the average with it (though not very high).


FBI is correct on this one. His H% was much higher than most other years. He is a .250 type hitter with a bunch of holes in his swing. He may develop into a better hitter at some point but until you see a dramatic improvement in the K department, you should not expect a high avg.
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Postby wrveres » Sat Apr 16, 2005 7:22 am

:-)
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