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beckett still a risk?

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Postby Amazinz » Mon Apr 11, 2005 1:36 pm

I seriously doubt you're going to get Schmidt for Beckett buf if you could I would agree.
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Postby slomo007 » Mon Apr 11, 2005 1:38 pm

Amazinz wrote:I seriously doubt you're going to get Schmidt for Beckett buf if you could I would agree.


Well, before the season started there were a lot of Sheets/Schmidt comparisons....and suddenly due to Beckett's hot start and Sheets' slow start, there is a Beckett/Sheets comparison. So, IMO it won't be long till Beckett's included in the elite tier.
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Postby Cornbread Maxwell » Mon Apr 11, 2005 1:48 pm

mikegp wrote:Any player has some kind of risk involved when you draft them. Granted Beckett has a bit more risk invovled, but his potential is amazing. I got in him the 5th round(i think) in a keeper league and I think that is an amazing place to get him. Even with all the time he missed last year, his numbers were probably a bit better than average for starting pitchers. Beckett is someone you have to take a chance on because eventually he will stay healthy and become a top 5 starting pitcher and considering how late he is going that is an amazing deal. There is no way to predict if a player will stay healthy or not, so you can either play it safe and get players that usually don't get injured or you can go for the guys who have amazing potential but haven't put it together because of injuries. This year will be the year for Beckett because he is more mature and having Leiter(a pitcher with past blister problems) on his team will help a lot.


good post mike.

As for Becket's value - the sky is the limit. He could very easily be better than Schmidt this yr. He has always had the talent, but the injury risk held him back. Projection wise his upside was considered almost as high as Prior's before they came up. For those who think he became popular during the WS, you are way off - he was an uberprospect well before that. If he is healthy all yr I can see him being a top 5 SP. I only wish I had targeted him earlier in my drafts.
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Postby donny23 » Mon Apr 11, 2005 1:54 pm

Cornbread Maxwell wrote:
mikegp wrote:Any player has some kind of risk involved when you draft them. Granted Beckett has a bit more risk invovled, but his potential is amazing. I got in him the 5th round(i think) in a keeper league and I think that is an amazing place to get him. Even with all the time he missed last year, his numbers were probably a bit better than average for starting pitchers. Beckett is someone you have to take a chance on because eventually he will stay healthy and become a top 5 starting pitcher and considering how late he is going that is an amazing deal. There is no way to predict if a player will stay healthy or not, so you can either play it safe and get players that usually don't get injured or you can go for the guys who have amazing potential but haven't put it together because of injuries. This year will be the year for Beckett because he is more mature and having Leiter(a pitcher with past blister problems) on his team will help a lot.


good post mike.

As for Becket's value - the sky is the limit. He could very easily be better than Schmidt this yr. He has always had the talent, but the injury risk held him back. Projection wise his upside was considered almost as high as Prior's before they came up. For those who think he became popular during the WS, you are way off - he was an uberprospect well before that. If he is healthy all yr I can see him being a top 5 SP. I only wish I had targeted him earlier in my drafts.


Due to lack of options in my keeper league, I figured I'd take the chance and focus on him as my target for my #1 pitcher. Hoping high risk, high reward pay off. I also have fellow Marlin Burnett whose upside is pretty decent also, but nowhere near Beckett's. Given that I also ended up with Mota as one of my closers, I'm hoping Florida does pretty well this year. :-D
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Postby bd3521 » Mon Apr 11, 2005 1:55 pm

He was an uber prospect.
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Postby beltrans_boy » Mon Apr 11, 2005 2:50 pm

Kid has talent, no doubt about it...but I got burned by him last year. I won't touch him with a 10-foot pole. If you get the chance to trade him for a proven stud, do it in a heartbeat.

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Postby afromangettindrunk » Mon Apr 11, 2005 5:42 pm

IMHO he is a proven stud. with pitching there is no such thing as a sure thing. i doubt this kid is going to spend his entire career as an injury liability. if he does, shame on me, but i believe that any of the other top studs could easily be as much at risk fpr an injury this year.
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Postby Woolly » Mon Apr 11, 2005 5:43 pm

Beckett is a risk, but what piycher isn't. He should be solid this year and I would ride him whenever possible.
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Postby CubsFan7724 » Mon Apr 11, 2005 5:47 pm

Cornbread Maxwell wrote:
mikegp wrote:Any player has some kind of risk involved when you draft them. Granted Beckett has a bit more risk invovled, but his potential is amazing. I got in him the 5th round(i think) in a keeper league and I think that is an amazing place to get him. Even with all the time he missed last year, his numbers were probably a bit better than average for starting pitchers. Beckett is someone you have to take a chance on because eventually he will stay healthy and become a top 5 starting pitcher and considering how late he is going that is an amazing deal. There is no way to predict if a player will stay healthy or not, so you can either play it safe and get players that usually don't get injured or you can go for the guys who have amazing potential but haven't put it together because of injuries. This year will be the year for Beckett because he is more mature and having Leiter(a pitcher with past blister problems) on his team will help a lot.


good post mike.

As for Becket's value - the sky is the limit. He could very easily be better than Schmidt this yr. He has always had the talent, but the injury risk held him back. Projection wise his upside was considered almost as high as Prior's before they came up. For those who think he became popular during the WS, you are way off - he was an uberprospect well before that. If he is healthy all yr I can see him being a top 5 SP. I only wish I had targeted him earlier in my drafts.

That if is huge. Blisters are a recurring problem that is more serious than it sounds. It really hampers pitchers. See Matt Mantei, Jeremy Affeldt to name a few. I believe Jeremy Affeldt got his corrected though, by removal of his fingernails and replaced with artificial ones :-o
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Postby jbones733 » Mon Apr 11, 2005 5:52 pm

Cy Young race will be between C Zambrano & Josh Beckett, Schmidt probably will be right there also

I Prefer Beckett over Sheets & Perez, 1 better ball club, more wins, 2 - better prospect overall, just cause of those injuries
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