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Player Projections and Stat Alanysis Brainstorming Forum

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Postby mkoss » Sun Jan 12, 2003 10:36 pm

Of course, you can never get 100% projections. I expect we can probably get in the 70-75% range though. Who would have ever predicted Sammy Sosa exploding for 66 HR in 1998? That's just impossible to predict. Who would have predicted Griffey's collapse since his move to Cincy? The point is, we can provide projections for what we believe is reasonable and expected, knowing full well that there is nothing more unpredictable than baseball, not even the weather here in Chicago. Using the projections to draft your team will just give you a guidline to draft by--it isn't meant to be offset the unpredictability. We can say with a pretty high level of confidence that Sammy will hit 45-50 HR next year. Of course, it's also completely possible for him to smash 70, or get hit by a pitch on the first day, be out for 3 months, and finish the season with 20.

Michael.
From the official rulebook of baseball: "Baseball is a game played between two teams of nine players each." Therefore, baseball is a game played only in the National League.
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Postby trevisc » Mon Jan 13, 2003 10:43 am

oh stop it!!

don't talk about Slammy that way!

he'll NEVER get hurt!


}:-)
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jr

Postby poop » Tue Jan 14, 2003 5:38 pm

hopefully Jr will return to about 75%; then I will not have to Burn all his rookie cards that i have laying around somewhere............

please warm-up this year jr
before you go down again.....
DO IT,
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sleepers

Postby someone » Thu Jan 16, 2003 10:49 pm

C- Miquel Olivo- fast catcher? this new guy could steal 30 bases, and is known for consistent hitting, will be a part of a great team in chicago

1B- Erubiel Durazo- Didn't get the playing time last year due to injuries and split time, could easily break out and become a respected hitter in Arizona.

2B- Mark Bellhorn- risky, but could easily help sammy in chicago and a good late round draft pick.

3B- Joe Crede- This guy is sick, im predicting 35+ homeruns, 100 rbis, and will lead chicago to the world series

SS- Julio Lugo- this is the guy that has a cool name, but is yet to capitalize on it. with a more dangerous astros lineup, hes bound to break out.

OF- Adam Dunn- did well last year, with experience behind his belt, will do even better. Brad Wilkerson- showed potential signs of greatness, and could help guerrero and vidro out by getting on base. Vernon Wells- young guy that also showed he could hit and play good defense.

DH- Whatever you do, don't draft the old y 300 pounder frank thomas. thats all i have to say about DH's

P- Oliver Perez- draft him, immediately. Mark Prior- you might have to get him early, this kid has got good stuff, hands down 20 game winner. Everyone knows Roy Oswalt now, get him. Other young sleeper pitchers- Damian Moss, Kyle Lohse, Johan Santana

RP- Gagne, Smoltz JORGE JULIO and yes... Keith Foulke..


It will be an all Chicago world series

Cubs- great young pitching staff, sammy sosa and mark bellhorn will provide runs

Sox- Third in American league runs last year, now with bartolo colon, they can take runs and not lose. Miguel Olivo will help hitting, Konerko Magglio and Crede will te, possibly the three most dangerous hitters on a team.

Book It.
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question

Postby Bennyy22 » Thu Jan 23, 2003 11:18 am

how do u get pictures unders ur guyses namees? :-)
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-Yogi Berra
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Re: jr

Postby trevisc » Thu Jan 23, 2003 11:22 am

poop wrote:hopefully Jr will return to about 75%; then I will not have to Burn all his rookie cards that i have laying around somewhere............

please warm-up this year jr
before you go down again.....


Send them to me ! especially the 89 UD one


:-D
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keepers

Postby jeepn2 » Wed Jan 29, 2003 3:33 pm

I have to choose between Posada and Manny as a kepper?" Thoughts?
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Postby ijhfg » Wed Jan 29, 2003 3:38 pm

liuuyt
ijhfg


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Re: keepers

Postby trevisc » Wed Jan 29, 2003 3:41 pm

jeepn2 wrote:I have to choose between Posada and Manny as a kepper?" Thoughts?


Manny

next question
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PREDICTIONS

Postby PINNACLE PLAYBOY » Sat Feb 08, 2003 5:11 am

PIAZZA-.302,87R,31HR,116RBI,79BB,0SB
IVAN RODRIGUEZ-.336,89R,27HR,82RBI,29BB,9SB
JORGE POSADA-.286,97R,26HR,91RBI,87BB,1SB
JASON KENDALL-.301,77R,9HR,66RBI,67BB,19SB
CHARLES JOHNSON-.259,56R,24HR,74RBI,33BB,0SB
********************************************************
TODD HELTON-.347,129R,52HR,147RBI,117BB,7SB
ALBERT PUJOLS-.336,136R,38HR,129RBI,78BB,4SB
JASON GIAMBI-.332,128R,43HR,140RBI,127BB,2SB
PHIL NEVIN-.307,95R,34HR,99RBI,76BB,6SB
JEFF BAGWELL-.313,116R,33HR,116RBI,118BB,5SB
********************************************************
ALFONSO SORIANO-.308,146R,47HR,108RBI,45BB,45SB
JEFF KENT-.335,108R,31HR,126RBI,58BB,3SB
LUIS CASTILLO-.301,108R,2HR,57RBI,77BB,66SB
RAY DURHAM-.281,118R,11HR,78RBI,71BB,24SB
JOSE VIDRO-.337,101R,27HR,98RBI,68BB,6SB
********************************************************
ALEX RODRIGUEZ-.322,129R,59HR,148RBI,109BB,17SB
NOMAR GARCIAPARRA-.332,123R,28HR,128RBI,49BB,5SB
MIGUEL TEJADA-.286,106R,36HR,113RBI,36BB,9SB
DEREK JETER-.291,128R,16HR,77RBI,75BB,34SB
RICH AURILIA-.299,98R,23HR,83RBI,35BB,1SB
********************************************************
ERIC CHAVEZ-.293,89R,38HR,127RBI,67BB,8SB
TROY GLAUS-.272,117R,52HR,119RBI106BB,10SB
SCOTT ROLEN-.288,107R,33HR,116RBI,70BB,16SB
AARON BOONE-.263,89R,28HR,105RBI,74BB,38SB
EDGARDO ALFONZO-.326,96R,14HR,78RBI,68BB,8SB
********************************************************
VLADIMIR GUERRERO-.358,108R,57HR,133RBI,88BB,48SB
BOBBY ABREU-.326,120R,28HR,107RBI,102BB,39SB
MAGGLIO ORDONEZ-.342,138R,36HR,137RBI,71BB,11SB
CARLOS BELTRAN-.291,116R,27HR,107RBI,73BB,37SB
ICHIRO SUZUKI-.343,133R,8HR,73RBI,86BB,35SB
********************************************************
RANDY JOHNSON-22-3,2.13ERA,268IP,71BB/312K
PEDRO MARTINEZ-28-2,2.47ERA,217IP,28BB/277K
CURT SCHILLING-25-9,3.00ERA,251IP,31BB/338K
ROY OSWALT-23-7,3.23ERA,239IP,64BB/226K
BARRY ZITO-27-7,2.96ERA,247IP,76BB/200K
********************************************************
ROBB NEN-6-4,2.37ERA,47SV,78IP,12BB/83K
ERIC GAGNE-6-3,2.38ERA,58SV,84IP,8BB/118K
TROY PERCIVAL-2-3,1.73,48SV,58IP,27BB/66K
JOHN SMOLTZ-3-0,3.02,59SV,88IP,28BB/87K
MARIANO RIVERA-3-2,2.51ERA,46SV,84IP,9BB/83K
********************************************************
FRANK THOMAS-.290,99R,26HR,110RBI,106BB,3SB
ELLIS BURKS-.283,74R,34HR,93RBI,66BB,2SB
EDGAR MARTINEZ-.319,84R,19HR,97RBI,89BB,1SB
JOSH PHELPS-.270,70R,28HR,86RBI,54BB,4SB
DIMITRI YOUNG-.280,67R,17HR,69RBI,34BB,6SB
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