Cleveland Steamers wrote:projections are supposed to be the most likely numbers put up by a certain player. there should be a 50% chance of decreasing the numbers and a 50% of increasing.
Not at all... projections are supposed to be the most likely numbers, in the opinion of the projector. It's not like there is one absolute projection for a given player. Maybe Icon just thinks ARam will perform at his highest possible level next year, then those are reasonable projections.
Personally I think they're a tad high- my projections are very similar to Curious George's.
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this is a ridiculous arguement....projections are a complete waste of time. How much better is one guy over another? Come on. So many factors play into this that everyone is just guessing.
BigMusky wrote:this is a ridiculous arguement....projections are a complete waste of time. How much better is one guy over another? Come on. So many factors play into this that everyone is just guessing.
Prize to BigMusky for the first reasonable quote in this thread.
.20 less average 15 less homers 20 less RBI's 15 less Runs 15 more steals....not very close-though Wright is still a great player[/quote]
I would agree with those numbers, except dropping Ramirez by about 5 hr & dropping 2-3 hrs from Wright, along w/ about 10 less runs & RBI's.
Wright may be a great player in the future (maybe even next year), but for this year, he is not fit to carry Aram's jock.
Iconoclastic wrote:Aramis: .335 120 45 130 1 (lofty, but having seen his at bats I know he's on Pujols' level: mark my words- after this season Aramis will be a 1st round pick)
Wright: .290 90 25 90 15 (Sophomore slump always possible, but still not a bad player to have)
So that's about 45 points in AVG, 30 runs, 20 HRs, 40 RBIs versus 14 SB
Those are the ceiling numbers for a guy like Vlad, not Aramis. Aramis Ramirez is simply not that good.
[size=10]"Men are apt to mistake the strength of their feeling for the strength of their argument." [/size]