Based on his home/road splits out of Arlington, last yr was completely predictable other than the SBs. I think he will run less this yr so:
115, 38, 105, 20, .285
Basically, as a top 3 pick Arod is overrated. Last yr he finished around the 10th best hitter, and I dont expect him to improve much on those numbers.
There is very very little chance he replicates his stats from Arlington - a place that inflated both his HR and BA totals significantly.