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Shawn Green: Bust or Breakout?

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Shawn Green: Bust or Breakout?

Postby Doughhead » Mon Apr 04, 2005 11:01 pm

Every year, some poor schmuck drafts Shawn Green and watches him struggle to a disappointing .260, 20, 75 season. This year, no one bit. But now that he's out of LA, maybe this is the year Green gets back to the stud he looked like in Toronto.

What's your take on this guy? Another disappointment or finally some steak to go with the sizzle? The 1B/OF eligibility and the obvious potential both intrigue me, but I'd be very curious to hear cafe opinions on this one.

PS. While we're at it, what about Green's new 'Zona teammate Luis Gonzalez?
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Postby Steve-o » Mon Apr 04, 2005 11:06 pm

Whaddya mean no one bit? I sure did. Took him in all 4 leagues I play in. Including both money leagues.

Pick number 120 in one money league and 103 in the other. Great value IMO.

Maybe I'm crazy, but I projected him at 85 R, 30 HR, 100 RBI, 5 SB, 295 Avg with that ballpark.
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Postby Doughhead » Mon Apr 04, 2005 11:08 pm

It's a small league (8 teams), and everyone is pretty sick of hoping that he will emerge from mediocrity. Is he an upgrade over Jason Bay do you think?
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Postby Steve-o » Mon Apr 04, 2005 11:12 pm

I think so.

I project Jason Bay at 80 R 30 HR 90 RBI 5 SB 270 Avg. I have Bay at number 83 for my cheat and Green at 66 (but it is also made out for an OPS league - so it might be a little skewed).

But, like I said previously, I am higher on Green than most.
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Postby TheYanks04 » Mon Apr 04, 2005 11:14 pm

Green has had tremndous years in the past. Breakout? His problems started when he hurt his shoulder a couple of year ago. Getting out of LA and Chavez Ravine can only help, but I would not count on 40 homers either.
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Postby Absolutely Adequate » Mon Apr 04, 2005 11:16 pm

I'll be honest - I think at the end of the year, Shawn Green will be a top-25 player. I've been saying it all offseason (well, ever since I got him in my cafe league) and I hope to be able to gloat in a few months.
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Postby Iconoclastic » Mon Apr 04, 2005 11:18 pm

Green seems to be one of the streakiest hitters out there. Makes me wonder if I should trade for him if he sucks for a few weeks...
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Postby SHOCKandAWE » Tue Apr 05, 2005 12:06 am

I dont think he will be a bust or have a breakout year.

The nice think about Green is know what you are getting stats wise. I have no problem taking him on my team as a backup 1b or back of
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Postby Brade » Tue Apr 05, 2005 12:15 am

I snagged him on my team in the 13th round. I definitely think the #'s will improve at the BOB where he seems to enjoy hitting in his career anyway. I'll go with 35 hrs and 95 rbi at least. the real question is will he start running more again?
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Postby Chuckles » Tue Apr 05, 2005 12:32 am

Brade wrote:I snagged him on my team in the 13th round. I definitely think the #'s will improve at the BOB where he seems to enjoy hitting in his career anyway. I'll go with 35 hrs and 95 rbi at least. the real question is will he start running more again?


Boy, I sure hope you're right!!!!! I'd be up for that. He's in my money league as well... ;-D
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