Projections for this guy have him hitting anywhere from 15 hrs to 30, and stealing 9 to 25 bases. His projections are all over the place. How safe is this guy or would an outfielder like Shawn Green or Magglio Ordonez be safer?
No chance he steals more than 15, and 12 is even optimistic. HR I really can't predict, but I think you are safe if you consider last year his ceiling. He's probably the leading one-year wonder candidate, two steps ahead of Coco Crisp and (ya, I'm gonna say it...) Carlos Guillen.
I'll respectfully disagree with most of the contributors in this thread.
See him checking in around .290, with 20/15 HR/SB, possibly a little more. Should also net close to 90 RBI if he stays in the six hole, which is where I believe he's slated to hit. That would change, of course, should Guillen move him back toward the top of the order. I see Rowand as a guy who always had quite a bit of potential, but just took awhile to figure it out. He appears to have responded under this manager and I expect him to have another fine season.
by SoxWillNeverWinAgain » Fri Apr 01, 2005 8:48 am
I'm going to go against the grain and predict a big year from Rowand. I did draft him rather high and there's a reason why. He's consistant. He hits righties and lefties equally the same ( .300 avg), last year he hit better on the road than at home (still over .300) and he hit around .300 pre and post all star break.
Now you can say he just had a really lucky year last year... but there seems to be no weakness in his game as presented by his splits. Upside- huge. I'm 'all in' with this guy, he's my number 2 outfielder behind another consistant performer- Ichiro.
So my projections-
.305, 90 runs, 32 hrs , 105 rbs, 20 sbs.