Adam Dunn or Jeremy Burnitz?

[Bobblehead]

Why is Adam Dunn rated so much higher than Jeremy Burnitz? Take a look at last year's stats:

Dunn .266 105 R 46 HR 102 RBI
Burnitz .283 94 R 37 HR 110 RBI

OK I understand that Burnitz played at Coors field last year but he has had power even with the Brewers. Dunn posted a career best .266 AVG last year. Prior to that he was hitting around .215 or so. Burnitz is no longer in Coors Field but Wrigley is a nice hitter's park too.

In the 3 leagues that I am in Dunn has gone in the 3rd, 5th & 7th rounds. Burnitz has gone in the 18th, 19th & 20th round.

If I had to pick one or the other straight up then sure I would take Dunn. But is Dunn really 15 rounds better than Burnitz? They seem to be about the same type of player to me. Remember Gorman Thomas of the 1980's Brewers? Both of these players seem to be from a similar mold as big Gorman.

[Conner]

Most obvious answer:

Adum Dunn is 25 years old.


Jeremy Burnitz is 35 years old.




Huge difference.

[raiders_umpire]

i expect dunn to improve on or at least stay even with last years stats,,,but with burnitz i expect a big drop off from last year

[slomo007]

i expect dunn to improve on or at least stay even with last years stats,,,but with burnitz i expect a big drop off from last year

Yep, they really aren't that comparable.

[Pacman]

Hopefully you've already chosen Dunn. If not, please do so now.

[mikegp]

Hopefully you've already chosen Dunn. If not, please do so now.

Agreed

[Pogotheostrich]

i expect dunn to improve on or at least stay even with last years stats,,,but with burnitz i expect a big drop off from last year

I agree. I'm not sure where Burnitz is batting in the order but I doubt he come close to those numbers from last year. Both have career BA around .250. Burnitz just had the best season of his career in Coors at the age of 35. Dunn is 25 and improving.

[Bobblehead]

I expect Burnitz's AVG to drop to around .250 but I think his power numbers will still be pretty decent. 90 R 30 HR 90 RBI are about right I think with a .250 AVG. He has hit over 30 HR in Milwaukee so I think he will do so again at Wrigley.

Dunn K's so much how do you expect his AVG to get better? I expect .255 100 R 40 HR 100 RBI from Dunn. That is not a huge difference from Burnitz.

In a one year league I think Dunn is only about 2-3 rounds better than Burnitz. Dunn is similar to Podsednik in that he dominates with power (Pods with speed) but his AVG just kills you.

[slomo007]

You're ignoring the fact that Dunn is getting better though. I expect his avg to be at least .270 this year, maybe even better.

[The Kavorka]

Dunn Dunn Dunn !!!