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by **curious_george_43545** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:08 pm

Cornbread Maxwell wrote:
Secret Avatar wrote:I expect Beltre to be the top one or two 3B this year and more than justify your second-round pick. Expect a line like 325-40-110-110-5 with upside to repeat last year's numbers. So far in ST, he's shown no signs of any adjustment problem to a new team or league.

I agree, but Ill take it a step further and say he'll be more valuable than Arod - again.

wow imagine how much CBM would like him if he became a Tiger instead 8-o

Broncmet724 · by **Broncmet724** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:09 pm

I have him projected at .301 91R 38HR 107RBI 6SB. However, I have A-Rod worth more myself, the SBs making all the difference

by **CubsFan7724** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:11 pm

Broncmet724 wrote:I have him projected at .301 91R 38HR 107RBI 6SB

Only 107 RBI with Ichiro and Reed ahead of him?

by **curious_george_43545** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:15 pm

.308 38 103 117 4 Is what I expect, but I believe he can be even better than that

by **bost0n** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:21 pm

The right handed perspective from going to Dodger Stadium to Safeco is actually relatively significant. It is a bit easier to hit in Dodger Stadium as a righty.

by **jayman** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:38 pm

Safeco and Dodger Stadium aren't that different according to bill james.... not that I agree or anything, looking of the acutal stats........

http://www.sportfanatics.net/Baseball/F ... istics.htm

by **brandnew** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:47 pm

I have him for:

.319, 42 HR, 119 RBI, 104 R

Give or take on the RBI, he had so many RBI in that relatively mediocre Dodger lineup... with Sexson, Reed, Ichiro in front, it's tough to say he won't get to 120+

by **Secret Avatar** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:51 pm

I don't think the move from Chavez Ravine to Safeco will make much difference if any in Beltre's numbers. You can analyze the park factors to death (and reach different conclusions depending on who you listen to) but in the end both are tough parks for hitters. If Beltre can hit 334-48 in Chavez Ravine he can hit anywhere. I was more concerned that he might need some adjustment to a new team and league, but apparently he's fit right in.

by **jayman** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:53 pm

Is Sexson really hitting in front of Beltre, not behind?

by **jayman** » Sun Mar 27, 2005 8:54 pm

Rototimes has Beltre before Sexson. That should keep Sexson for stealing any with blasts of his own... damn, I have them both!

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