The Phillies have to decided to end Ryan Howard's experiment with playing the outfield. Blocked by Jim Thome, Philadelphia wanted to see if their best minor league slugger could play elsewhere. But the 6-4, 260 pound first baseman had no instincts in left. He is more likely than ever to get dealt out of the organization. Source: Philadelphia Daily News
well, now that crazy notion that he could play LF is out, where do yu guys think he will end up this season. back down to AAA to start? traded soon, or will he stay with the big club on the bench?
Last edited by ensanimal on Wed Mar 23, 2005 5:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Now that he is safely on my team (this thread scared the crap out of me! ), I think that Howard could be pretty damn good. The guy from WTNY and baseballanalysts.com says this:
In the fifth round of the 1998 draft, the Tampa Bay Devil Rays selected a big, left-handed hitter with a power bat and bad defense, from one of the nation’s top programs: Miami. Three years later, in the same round, the Phillies took a similar player from another solid program, though a bit less heralded: Southwest Missouri State. The Devil Ray would post three slugging percentages above .530 before making the Majors, while the Phillie took until AA to reach those numbers, and he got well above .600. I’m not saying the comp is perfect, but I believe that Howard will become some version of Aubrey Huff, probably with a little more power, more strikeouts and a bit of a worse average.
Personally I'm not a big Ryan Howard fan, and I wouldn't compare him to Huff. Huff moved faster in the minors leaguer and always was hitting .300 or a good amount over. Another big factor is their K/BB ratio, Huff's was much much better in the minors, he showed real good patience with his plate discipline.
A better comparison for Howard is another prospect I'm not that high on, Dallas McPherson.
McPherson: 561 AB's - 60 BB - 186 K - 43 HR
Howard: 524 AB's - 52 BB - 179 K - 48 HR
Oh yeah and both were 24 in the 2004 season. I know both have a lot of power, that's easy to see. I just think both strike out way to much and don't hardly walk at all, for me to like them that much. If they were younger it would be easier to think it would improve, but right now I don't see either becoming that good. Both of them would have to show me they can do something at the MLB level for me to believe it.
I agree with Hybrid on both Mcpherson and Howard. Neither were extremely young for their league, but people just see the high HR totals and think that it will translate into MLB success. I just don't think it's likely with their high K/low BB totals. I'm not saying it's impossible as there are many examples of players who K a lot and don't BB. I would just rather invest in a player with a better K/BB, just my personal opinion in evaluating minor league players