I didn't post them to hear how perfect they were. Tell me where I went wrong, and why.
You don't need make smart remarks, "Pettitte ahead of Smoltz? hahahahaha", and run off. I've yet to hear the slightest concerns about the fact Smoltz hasn't started in 5-6 years. Pettitte, until he got hurt last year, posted good K rates and in fact everything was good. Why is such a stupid thing to put him a couple spots ahead of Smoltz?
Look, Pettitte has a career 1.38 WHIP. He is coming off an injury. His numbers in NY were deflated because of the park effect. Hes now in a park that inflates his numbers - check the split. Smoltz is no more of an injury concern than any elite SP - and his %s are fantastic. Being a SP puts less pressure on his arm - not more.
The thing is though, your lists are filled with these type of mistakes - its pretty tough to begin.
I guess my question to you is what is your basis for this - what kind of league are you projecting for and what is the process you use to come up with projections?
I would just suggest looking at each players career stats, making a projections for them, giving them all a $ value, and then sorting by the $ vaue. Doing this, it would be almost impossible to get Eaton coming in at better than Zam. You can make it much more complicated than that, but just ranking them looking at the stats you think they'll put up is better than going from instinct and just sorting the names out. Also, don't forget to factor in WHIp - that hurts players like Webb who might have a good ERA but kill you in WHIP.
"Jack, will you call me, if you're able?"
"I've got your phone number written, in the back of my Bible."
As for the wins, 20 is hard to repeat twice in a row to begin with, but add that with an Astros offense that, lost Beltran, is getting older, and a closer (Lidge) who just may crack having no help at all in that bullpen.
I see the two having very similar Win totals, with Sheets having a big edge with every other category.
You have Jon Lieber finishing worse than Jeff Suppan and Joe Kennedy and Victor Zambrano. Same for John Thomson. And Eric Milton (please) over all of them.
I know Kennedy pitches at Coors, but I can't ignore the numbers he put up last year pitching in thin air. V-Zambrano... you have to think there's a reason the Mets gave up Kazmir to get him. He's a limitation-of-walks away from being a very good starter, just look at his other numbers. Milton is more of a hunch. He's overpaid but I have a feeling he'll earn at least most of those dollars this year.