LBJackal wrote:It's not the power I doubt. I have him projected for:
39 HR, 94 R, 115 RBI, 3 SB, .286 BA
That works out to about 42nd overall. Power is over-rated. As for Vernon Wells, his projections are:
30 HR, 102 R, 105 RBI, 14 SB, .300 BA
That comes out to $5 more valuable than Teix.
So I'd think about this decision for a second rounder. Most people say the first few rounds don't matter, seasons are won and lost in the middle rounds. Well, if you make picks like Helton in the top 5, Teix in the first 2 rounds, you can very easily shoot yourself in the foot before the 3rd round even starts.
So, his average will go up, and his home runs go up, yet he hits only 3 more RBI and gets less runs? How do you figure? That lineup is stacked top to bottom, probably more so than last year with Hidalgo there protecting Tex. He should be a shoo-in for 40/100/120 if hes healthy. He nearly hit that missing a month. And why in the world would you take Vernon Wells in the 2nd round when you could get him 3 or 4 rounds later? Why wouldn't you take Tex, and if you don't like him, trade him for value, and take Wells later?
40-100-120 would still leave Vernon $3 more valuable than Teix. So I think the question should be, why would you draft Teix in the 2nd round when he shouldn't be drafted until the 4th round?
Also, I wouldn't draft Vernon in the 2nd round, because a) there are better players still available at that point and b)he can be had later.
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RugbyD wrote:just for the record, shandler has a massive hard-on for teixeira this year. he's expecting ~.300 BA. also 100-40-100, but everyone has that expectation.
.300 isn't that farfetched people. What did he bat in his short time spent in the minors? It was like north of .310 wasn't it? And better in college, too? Minor league and college stats generally tell you what a player will do in the majors. I don't think he hits .300 this year, but as he matures, I think he'll hit .300 in 06.
LBJ, the reason you have Vernon so far ahead of Tex is because your projections for him are too high, and also because your projections for Tex are too low. Tex will hit AT LEAST 40 HRs, will get AT LEAST 110 RBI, and will score 100 R. I would take him over Cabrera, too. I would take Ichiro right around Tex, but since you already have steals with Beltran, go for the monster power with Tex. And in a keeper, Tex is gold. He will be a first-rounder next year, I promise
by curious_george_43545 » Tue Mar 15, 2005 12:57 am
Bloody Nipples wrote:LBJ, the reason you have Vernon so far ahead of Tex is because your projections for him are too high, and also because your projections for Tex are too low. Tex will hit AT LEAST 40 HRs, will get AT LEAST 110 RBI, and will score 100 R. I would take him over Cabrera, too. I would take Ichiro right around Tex, but since you already have steals with Beltran, go for the monster power with Tex. And in a keeper, Tex is gold. He will be a first-rounder next year, I promise
except I have Cabrera 1 spot ahead of Teixeira...but it doesn't matter much
also redsox it's your choice, Cabrera and Tex and Crawford are all young STUDS and if you'd like not to worry about speed the rest of your draft get Crawford but if you want a top power guy Cabrera/Tex
I'd take Cabrera then Tex.... since as others have said, they're both young STUDS. As for the pitchers, I like both Sheets and Oswalt but I'd rather have the big bats to start things off. Maybe you can get a guy like Peavy or Zambrano (other young STUDs) a little later in the draft?