I picked him up off of the WW at the end of last season, and I noticed that he's pretty streaky. Take a look at his month-by-month numbers:
Mth - Avg - OPS
Apr - .250 - .719
May - .224 - .773
Jun - .330 - .972
Jul - .257 - .770
Aug - .291 - .975
Sep - .267 - .834
He had an 9-game hitting streak in April where he had only one home run. He had a two-week period on June where he went 21-for-62 with 5 HRs, but he still struck out 18 times in there, too. Then there was July where he had 7 and 6-game hitting streaks but still only batted .257 for the month, due in large part to the fact that he struck 24 more times.
I think most people are drafting him based on his August and September numbers. But if you look at those numbers, his power dropped off in September when he only had 4 HRs (compared to 7 in Aug and Jul). Four homers don't make 22 Ks worth it for me. He needs to have a year of Augusts to make him a better fantasy player. Of course, a year of Junes would be gravy, but let's be more realistic.
I like the guy and his forthcoming dual eligibility, but the streakiness and Ks make him either boom or bust. If you see him get a couple of good hits, throw him in your lineup because you could get a few more hits out of the guy. Watch out for the Ks, though, particularly if you're in a league where they matter a lot.
Last edited by JTWood on Sun Mar 13, 2005 7:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.