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Soriano...0/16...should I worry?

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Soriano...0/16...should I worry?

Postby quicksilver8 » Sat Mar 12, 2005 6:51 pm

Alfonso Soriano was my first pick in a mixed 12 team 5x5...(I had like the 10 th pick...) I am getting cold feet because he is sucking like a vacuum this spring. What is everyone projecting from Soriano this season.
I need steals on my team...should I offer Buehrle and Soriano for Marcus Giles and Carl Crawford?

If so, do you think it is a fair offer that could be accepted?
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Postby so0perspam » Sat Mar 12, 2005 6:53 pm

Shouldn't have drafted him in the first place .... he is one majorly overrated and overhyped player. I'd definitely do that Crawford/Marcus Giles trade.
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Postby warrick95 » Sat Mar 12, 2005 6:54 pm

It's spring training...everybody's just getting into shape. Soriano's streaky as hell, anyway, so hopefully he's just getting the bad streak out of the way.

I doubt anybody would accept that trade. If you could do it, I would do it regardless of Soriano's status.
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Postby Woolly » Sat Mar 12, 2005 6:55 pm

I think Soriano should be fine. I suspect that Giles is going to be a big disappointment this season for fantasy owners that thought he could keep up with Soriano as the best 2B in the game.
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Postby KolbSaves » Sat Mar 12, 2005 6:56 pm

warrick95 wrote:It's spring training...everybody's just getting into shape. Soriano's streaky as hell, anyway, so hopefully he's just getting the bad streak out of the way.

I doubt anybody would accept that trade. If you could do it, I would do it regardless of Soriano's status.

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Postby Strasil42 » Sat Mar 12, 2005 7:01 pm

do that trade
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Postby baseballboy » Sat Mar 12, 2005 7:04 pm

Soriano is a stud (not over-rated but the best at his position) and Buehrie is very solid. Don't buy into the 0-16 start - keep what you have ;-)
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Postby pokerplaya » Sat Mar 12, 2005 7:32 pm

If you get someone to accept that, do it. They won't though, so don't worry. (And I hate Marcus Giles).

Don't worry about Soriano. If he is healthy, he will perform. You should be monitoring the situation with his hammy, because if he is completely healthy, he will rake.

As has been mentioned, he is streaky as hell. So don't worry about the 0/16. Similarly, if he was 10/16 with 4hr's, don't think he is going to hit .350 with 50hrs. He will end up around .290 35hrs 100rbis/20-25sb's. Not too shabby for a 2B. Good late 1st round material. ;-D
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Postby Pogotheostrich » Sat Mar 12, 2005 7:35 pm

I'm going to echo what has already been said. Soriano will be fine but if you can get someone to make that trade with you I would take it.
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Postby quietstorm » Sat Mar 12, 2005 7:42 pm

warrick95 wrote:It's spring training...everybody's just getting into shape. Soriano's streaky as hell, anyway, so hopefully he's just getting the bad streak out of the way.

I doubt anybody would accept that trade. If you could do it, I would do it regardless of Soriano's status.

Poor math. Just because the roulette wheel lands red ten times in a row doesn't mean it's any less likely to keep landing red. Batting is the same way; if a player sucks for the first few months of the season, it doesn't make him any more likely to do better the rest of the way.

Soriano is so streaky because he relies on luck. He swings at everything, so his rate stats (AVG, OBP, SLG) are all tied directly to how well the fielders on the other team are doing, and how lucky he is with where the ball drops.

That said, Soriano is overhyped. His ISO has dropped two years in a row, and I don't expect him to rebound. His idiocy at the plate is finally catching up to him. Yes, he's still better than anybody at his position, but that doesn't make him the stud that people assume.
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