Lots of people are down of Pavano this year. While I agree that his ERA is going to go up by moving to the AL East, I just cannot justify taking Leiber ahead of him. Leiber throws lots of strikes and is going to a launching pad. Last year, lots of balls that died in Death Valley in Yankee stadium are going to fly out of the yard in Philly. I am staying FAR away from Leiber this year.
Pavano, otoh, should be a fairly good #3 pitcher. Is he really going to be that much worse than Clement? Probably not. Pavano is falling in most mocks. If you can land him around the 10th round, you have a tremendous value pick.