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Kevin Millwood- High Risk High Reward?

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Kevin Millwood- High Risk High Reward?

Postby go_jays_go » Sat Mar 05, 2005 12:15 am

What are his projections? Do you think he'll be able to find his true skill on the tribe this year?
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Postby Ender » Sat Mar 05, 2005 12:23 am

High Risk Low Reward in my opinion. He just hasn't had a good year in too long.
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Postby Spartans Rule » Sat Mar 05, 2005 1:19 am

I disagree. I'd say low risk high reward.

Millwood was excellent in 2002.

He really wasn't bad in 2003 either. Pretty much the same core numbers as the year before, just poor luck on balls hit in play.

In 2004 he was bad, but he was hurt.

I don't see a lot of reason to think that a healthy Millwood is not the same pitcher he was in 2002/2003, and if so he's going to be a draft steal.

Projections:
214 IP, 14 W, 176 K, 3.53 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
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Postby Tavish » Sat Mar 05, 2005 1:43 am

He is very low risk, it won't cost you all that much to get him. In all likelyhood a late round flier will snag him.

He isn't a real high reward if he pans out, but could make a decent #3 or #4 pitcher. At worst he hurts you in a couple starts and you drop him to the WW.
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Postby ayebatter » Sat Mar 05, 2005 1:46 am

you call it - 200 innings - 13 w's - 160 k's - 3.98 era - 1.26 whip
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Postby warrick95 » Sat Mar 05, 2005 1:47 am

I'm not seeing the real high reward. He had an exceptional 2000 and an exceptional 2002, but the rest of his years have hovered around mediocrity. Statistically speaking, it appears like the best bet for Millwood is an ERA in the mid 4's with a WHIP in the 1.3's. He could better his stats to get closer to 4, but I feel that there are more worthwhile risks to take that might end up posting better stats. That being said, he's not bad as a last starter.
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