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FBC Community Top 20 OF - #13: J. Bay, #14: C. Crawford

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Who is the #13 outfielder in a standard 5x5 league?

Carl Crawford
25
29%
Jason Bay
44
51%
Alex Rios
3
3%
Vladimir Guerrero
5
6%
Curtis Granderson
6
7%
Ichiro Suzuki
1
1%
Adam Dunn
0
No votes
Magglio Ordonez
0
No votes
Corey Hart
3
3%
Other (please specify)
0
No votes
 
Total votes : 87

FBC Community Top 20 OF - #13: J. Bay, #14: C. Crawford

Postby The Artful Dodger » Sun Feb 08, 2009 7:14 pm

Last edited by The Artful Dodger on Tue Feb 10, 2009 3:08 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby bigh0rt » Sun Feb 08, 2009 7:17 pm

Bay me.
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby Old_Style » Sun Feb 08, 2009 7:22 pm

The Canadian
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby Grounded Polo » Sun Feb 08, 2009 7:39 pm

Definitely Bay for me, gotta love him in that lineup.
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby RotoCowboy » Sun Feb 08, 2009 7:44 pm

Here is what Chone, Marcel, and Bill James average out to (assuming a career average # of AB for both - excluding rookie years and prior)

Crawford: 588AB, 91R, 13HR, 75RBI, 40SB, .295 avg

Bay: 571AB, 96R, 27HR, 96RBI, 9SB, .272 avg

Both estimates are fairly conservative in my mind.

So which is worth more to you?

30 SB and 20 points of AVG?

OR

15 HR and 20 RBI?

I don't think it is too much of a close call. I'll take Crawford all day here.
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby auclairkeithbc » Sun Feb 08, 2009 8:07 pm

CRAWFORD.

I agree with RotoCowboy. I think if you are looking at absolute worst case scenarios for both players (other than injuries), then you go with Bay.

But if you are willing to "risk" that they will both beat their bottom 25% predictions, then Crawford becomes the clear choice. I am not so risk averse that I only use absolute low end projections for everyone I'm drafting.

I think both those predictions above (from Rotocowboy) are quite cautious. I wouldn't want to consider any more cautious predictions for either, and it is clear comparing those two stat lines, that Crawford is a round or two better than Bay.
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby AquaMan2342 » Sun Feb 08, 2009 8:48 pm

Another overdrafted Red Sock. :-t :-t
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby Scooter1027 » Sun Feb 08, 2009 8:50 pm

Bay again, for the 4th time
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby bigh0rt » Sun Feb 08, 2009 8:51 pm

AquaMan2342 wrote:Another overdrafted Red Sock. :-t :-t

Hard to call any 30/100/100 guy over-drafted. Bay should reach all of those. Though with your Pedroia sig I'm not sure if you're kidding or what...
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Re: FBC Community Top 20 OF - Vote #13

Postby MasterX1918 » Sun Feb 08, 2009 8:51 pm

Crawford or Bay. Or Guerrero.
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