I can't believe it but I just voted for Soriano. The reason - FEAR. I'm too afraid of Hamilton's power decrease after the ASB to take him over Soriano and too afraid of how Holiday moving from one of the best hitters parks to one of the worst will lower his HRs and ave and also how much his SBs will suffer on one of the least running teams over the past 5 or so years. Barring injury I think of the three guys on this list capable of putting up 1st round numbers Soriano is the least likely to be a team-killing disappointment. I completely understand dissenting opinions and as we get into February I may completely change my mind, but Soriano gets my vote right now.
Neato Torpedo wrote:6 votes for 5 different players so far.
Yeah, no surprises to see it so wide open and all of these OF in the poll are so closely valued. I voted for Hamilton though durability is still a lingering concern for him.
i go hamilton as well. his upside is higher than the rest. there is just far too much downside with holliday for him to be considered here and im foreseeing beltran and/or soriano slowly decreasing their production, possibly starting this year. the others should not be considered at all right here.
Yeah, I vote for Holliday too, despite the change in scenery he's been too good in the past for me to knock him any lower than that. I might be tempted to go with Hamilton but come decision time on draft day I just don't think I take Hamilton before Holliday considering Josh's fade in the 2nd half last year and his shorter track record. I considered Beltran here too but I had Holliday ranked #2 on my cheat sheets last year so for me to knock him down any further than the #3 outfielder just doesn't sit well with me.
Snakes Gould wrote:i go hamilton as well. his upside is higher than the rest. there is just far too much downside with holliday for him to be considered here and im foreseeing beltran and/or soriano slowly decreasing their production, possibly starting this year. the others should not be considered at all right here.
I don't think Beltran gradually declines this season, as his numbers were pulled down hitting half of the year at Shea for the past 4 years. Problem solved. In Soriano's case, if he can shake off the nagging leg injuries, even if his SB start to sag, he still has it in him to knock 30-35 homers.
"This year I'm told that the team did well because one pitcher had a fine curve ball. I understand that a curve ball is thrown with a deliberate attempt to deceive. Surely that is not an ability we should want to foster at Harvard."Charles Eliot
Snakes Gould wrote:i go hamilton as well. his upside is higher than the rest. there is just far too much downside with holliday for him to be considered here and im foreseeing beltran and/or soriano slowly decreasing their production, possibly starting this year. the others should not be considered at all right here.
I don't think Beltran gradually declines this season, as his numbers were pulled down hitting half of the year at Shea for the past 4 years. Problem solved. In Soriano's case, if he can shake off the nagging leg injuries, even if his SB start to sag, he still has it in him to knock 30-35 homers.
i dont really think beltran declines THIS season in particular, but im just saying i could see it happen. i actually remember saying something to the beltran owner in my money league about how quiet a year he was having (he agreed) and then he ended up with very solid numbers. instead of declined, i probably should have used peaked.
as for soriano, i agree he can easily finish with 30-35 homers, but his days of high sb outputs are over, and his rbi/run collective totals always are lower than the others who are drafted around him.
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