StrategyJune 15, 2013


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Weekend Waiver Wire, Week 11

By Chris Routledge

Mark Appel. Kris Bryant. Jonathan Gray: The first three names off the board in this year’s draft. Chances are that all of them will be significant contributors on fantasy rosters in years to come (although there is no guarantee, of course — just ask any Padres fan about Matt Bush). But will any of them be the biggest fantasy contributors of the class of ‘13? Maybe, but it’s much more likely that it will be someone else, maybe even someone from way down the list. To take an example: James Shields is not going to be a Hall-of-Famer, but he has produced exceptional fantasy value relative to where Tampa Bay drafted him (Round 16 in 2000). Value is everywhere to be found, if you know where to look — even in the dredges of the waiver wire!

Week 10 Review

Juan Pierre, OF, MIA

Last 7 daysH/ABRHRRBISBAVG
 7/232001.304

Pierre hit well last week, but it was a bit of an empty average, with only two runs and one stolen base to show for it. Opportunities to steal may surface at any time, however, so he’s worth holding onto (or picking up, as he remains unowned in 76% of Yahoo Leagues).

Omar Quintanilla, 2B/SS, NYM

Last 7 daysH/ABRHRRBISBAVG
 3/262110.115

No sooner was he hitting well than Quintanilla went ice cold and lost his job as leadoff hitter for the Mets. With the team continuing to struggle to score runs, there are probably better MI options available right now.

Jacob Turner, SP, MIA

Last 7 daysIPWSVKERAWHIP
 7.00063.861.00

It wasn’t a brilliant start for Turner against the Brewers, but neither was it terrible. With the D-Backs, Giants and Padres as his next three scheduled opponents, I would hold him for now.

Kelvin Herrera, RP, KC

Last 7 daysIPWSVKERAWHIP
 2.01010.001.00

Only two outings last week, as Herrera was eased back into his eighth-inning role for the Royals, but his week included the unexpected bonus of a win. Again, there is no reason to drop him at present.

I think my choices last week reflect Turner’s outing: neither brilliant nor terrible. Improvement is possible; let’s see what we can do about that.

Week 11 Adds

Batters

Mike Carp, 1B/OF, BOS

Last 7 daysH/ABRHRRBISBAVG%Yahoo%ESPN
 9/206360.4501016

Carp’s greatly increased playing time has come as a result of improved production: he is 15-for-34 in June with four HRs. And yet fantasy players seem to be slow to react to this power surge. Whilst he is starting nearly every game, and hitting so well, he really ought to be rosters in more than a mere 10% of Yahoo leagues.

Anthony Rendon, 2B/3B, WAS

Last 7 daysH/ABRHRRBISBAVG%Yahoo%ESPN
 9/233040.391229

Rendon has a seven-game hitting streak going since being recalled to the majors, and has started the last six games for the Nationals, gaining 2B eligibility in Yahoo Leagues (although not yet in ESPN). So why is he still unowned in so many leagues? When he only had 3B eligibility, he probably wasn’t a particularly attractive option, having yet to hit a home run for the Nationals, but in your 2B slot, there is plenty to like here. Will he stay up when Espinosa returns? That is another unknown at this point, but while he is here and hitting, he really ought to be owned in most leagues.

Pitchers

John Danks, SP, CHW

Last 7 daysIPWSVKERAWHIP%Yahoo%ESPN
 8.01061.130.5061

In 2008, John Danks put together a 12-9 season with a 3.32 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, and many people were looking at him as a solid fantasy contributor — not an ace by any means, but a decent No. 3 for most rosters. The next two seasons followed a similar pattern (he picked up 15 wins in the latter season), but then the wheels came off. 2011 saw him regress significantly, and 2012 was lousy before a season-ending injury struck in late May.

Danks started this season late, and he has only pitched four games so far. The first three were average at best, but he finally put together a strong outing last Saturday against Oakland, resulting in the stat line above. What makes Danks an attractive add right now is his forthcoming schedule: he gets the Astros Saturday, followed by the Twins and Mets, all teams who are not exactly at the top of the run-producing tables. Pick him up in the short-term for these matchups … after that, use him at your own risk!

Erasmo Ramirez, SP, SEA

Last 7 daysIPWSVKERAWHIP%Yahoo%ESPN
 15.010140.000.7320

Erasmo Ramirez’s stats over the past week look amazing (and they are), but it should be pointed out that this happened at Triple-A, as he took Las Vegas to the cleaners twice. This is a speculation add for deeper leagues, as there is no guarantee that he will displace any of the current guys in the Mariners rotation. That said, if he continues to show this sort of form in the minors, it will be tough for Seattle to ignore him, so a promotion may well be on the cards in the foreseeable future. AL-only leagues should definitely be rostering him now.

Another week draws to a close. I hope these suggestions prove useful, and I will be back next week with another four guys who may make that crucial difference to your team.

 
Chris Routledge is enjoying the British summer - with temperatures possible reaching 20 degrees this weekend. That's pretty much a heatwave over here. Catch up with him in the Cafe under the username chris8.
 
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