StrategyAugust 8, 2012


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Wide World of Waivers: Kid Talk - 2 comments

By R.J. White

In this edition of the Wide World of Waivers, we’re deciding between a Giants MI and a newly promoted top prospect. We also wave goodbye to guys that are now out of our FA range, including Josh Rutledge, Ben Revere and Greg Holland, and bring back an old favorite at catcher. That, and several other recently promoted youngsters, now.

First Base

WeekPlayerTMH/ABAVGRHRRBISBY!%
W18Garrett JonesPIT8/22.364503027
W18Yonder AlonsoSD11/28.393413017

Jones continues to post nice lines each week, and although his power was suspiciously absent in Week 18, he did give us a .364 average and a handful of runs. Alonso has posted some pretty nice batting averages over the last six weeks, which he’ll need to continue doing to retain fantasy value. Don’t completely blame Petco Park for his lack of power, as he has just four HRs in 201 at-bats on the road this year. We’ll take the edge in power from Jones and keep him on our waiver team this week. Deep leaguers should think about giving Mike Carp and Brett Wallace a chance.

1B of the Week: Garrett Jones, PIT

Second Base

WeekPlayerTMH/ABAVGRHRRBISBY!%
W18Ryan TheriotSF8/30.26780417
W18Jean SeguraMIL0/0.00000002

My wild Billy Hamilton speculation didn’t come to pass, and Brandon Phillips is back in the lineup this week (oh, well). Theriot came through for us last week by scoring eight runs and stealing another base, giving him 12 SBs on the year and one in each of his last four weeks of action. Segura was on fire before being promoted to Milwaukee, posting a .433/.500/.533 line in his last 10 games in the minors (hat tip, Mike Newman of Fangraphs). He leaves behind a seven-HR, 37-steal line compiled at the Double-A level this year. He’s struggled in his first few games with the Brewers, but they didn’t bring him up to baby him. Expect him to keep starting, and he’s a great deep-league pickup in the middle infield. We’re going to add him over Theriot based on Segura’s higher upside, though I’d be shocked if he outperforms the Giant immediately. He should also pick up SS eligibility in Yahoo! within a matter of days.

2B of the Week: Jean Segura, MIL

Shortstop

WeekPlayerTMH/ABAVGRHRRBISBY!%
W18Josh RutledgeCOL6/27.222447046
W18Erick AybarLAA0/0.000000032

Rutledge smacked four more homers last week, and the fantasy world has responded by nearly doubling his ownership rating. He’s now hands-off for the purposes of our column, so let’s find the best option out there at 33 percent owned or less. To me, that’s Aybar, who’s just come off the DL. After posting terrible numbers in April and May, the Angel shortstop turned things around in June, hitting .315 with a .810 OPS. He followed that up with three HRs in July, finishing the month with a .828 OPS. His first game back from the DL? Try 3-for-4 with two runs and an RBI. If he continues to hit well, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him inserted into the No. 2 hole between Mike Trout and Albert Pujols, also known as Heaven. Torii Hunter has a .335/.373/.484 line in that spot this year.

SS of the Week: Erick Aybar, LAA

Third Base

WeekPlayerTMH/ABAVGRHRRBISBY!%
W18Todd FrazierCIN4/23.174227014
W18Mike OltTEX2/7.28620318

Frazier didn’t have many hits last week, but two of them happened to be home runs, so I think we can cut him a little slack. Unfortunately for us, our other option last week was Chris Johnson, and he’s turned into a beast in Arizona, hitting two more homers Tuesday to give him seven HRs in his last 12 games. He’s still available in 62 percent of Yahoo! leagues, so jump on him quickly if you need a 3B. We have to dig a little deeper, so we’re going to put Frazier up against Mike Olt, the talented youngster called up last week by the Rangers. He might sit against most righties, but he should mash when he’s in the lineup. I’d highly recommend him if you have a bench spot to spare. If you need an everyday 3B, Frazier is still your man.

3B of the Week: Todd Frazier, CIN

Catcher

WeekPlayerTMH/ABAVGRHRRBISBY!%
W18Wilin RosarioCOL2/13.154224025
W18A.J. EllisLAD7/17.412224029

Rosario isn’t getting a lot of hits, but when he does, they’re homers. Despite having just four hits in the last two weeks, he’s managed to hit three home runs. However, he’s losing playing time to Ramon Hernandez, which honestly makes no sense for a team going nowhere. McKenry, our other recommendation from last week, is still doing very well, and with him playing the same amount as Rosario last week, I prefer him of the two. But A.J. Ellis, one of our favorites from the beginning of the season, is coming back around, hitting three home runs over the past two weeks while posting an OBP over .400 each week. I’d take his high average potential over the handful of HRs the other two can provide.

C of the Week: A.J. Ellis, LAD

Outfielder

WeekPlayerTMH/ABAVGRHRRBISBY!%
W18Ben RevereMIN11/27.407502340
W18Justin RuggianoMIA2/13.154100023
W18Lorenzo CainKC10/25.400303324
W18Starling MartePIT6/24.250114117

Finally! After another great week of stats, Revere finds himself owned in four out of every ten leagues, which makes him ineligible to remain in this column. With his .329 average and 27 SBs, we’re going to miss him. Ruggiano is coming off a bad week, so it may be time to start fresh at the OF position. Revere’s speed spot is going to Cain, who came off the DL hitting homers but has since turned to his normal steal profile, swiping three bags last week. If you missed out on Revere, he could give you similar production, with maybe a little more power. Our other spot will go to Marte, a runner up last week who has a homer and a steal in each of his first two weeks with the club. Hitting atop the Pirates lineup, he has some nice run potential as well.

OFs of the Week: Lorenzo Cain, KC and Starling Marte, PIT

Starting Pitcher

WeekPlayerTMIPWERAWHIPBBKY!%
W18Joe BlantonLAD6.003.001.333522
W18Marco EstradaMIL13.002.081.15288
W18Daniel StrailyOAK6.001.501.001511
W18Scott FeldmanTEX7.212.350.911413

Blanton showed up in L.A. and posted his fourth straight quality start, though he uncharacteristically walked three in the performance. He now has 120 Ks and just 21 BBs this year, giving him an elite K/BB ratio by any measure. His home run tendencies should be helped by the move west, though he did give one up in his most recent start. Estrada’s 0-5 record is completely the opposite of his talent, as he walked just two guys combined in his two starts last week and still owns a K/9 ratio over 9.0 for the year. As you can imagine, I’ll continue to hold on to both these guys. Straily had a nice debut against the Blue Jays and is definitely worth your time, especially when he pitches at home. Unlike with Estrada, wins aren’t a problem for Feldman, who has six of them over his last seven appearances (six starts, one relief job). He’s walked a total of three guys over that run, so don’t think that the wins are a mirage in this case.

SPs of the Week: Joe Blanton, PHI and Marco Estrada, MIL

Relief Pitcher

WeekPlayerTMIPSVERAWHIPBBKY!%
W18Greg HollandKC4.010.001.252340
W18Wilton LopezHOU0.210.000.000012

We talked up Steve Cishek, Holland and Lopez in this space last week, and now only one of them remains available to us to keep discussing. That’s Lopez, the new Houston closer who earned a save last week after getting over his elbow troubles. He pitched the 10th and 11th innings on Monday, giving up an unearned run to take the loss, then pitched the 10th inning on Tuesday, striking out two batters and giving up one hit. If Houston’s satisfied running him out there this much, they must not be concerned about his elbow, so we probably shouldn’t be either. Lopez is now the owner of a 35/5 K/BB ratio in 43 innings of work, so he has the chance to be a pretty excellent closer if he remains healthy.

RP of the Week: Wilton Lopez, HOU

 
R.J. White is the head editor at the Cafe and has previously written for FanHouse, Razzball and FanDuel. Catch up with him in the forums under the name daullaz. Follow him on Twitter; don't follow him in real life.
 
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2 Responses to “Wide World of Waivers: Kid Talk”

  1. jjonas222 says:

    Can we make this a little more interesting?

    Not that he is available in my league, but what about Affeldt vs. Lopez?

    Secondly, Manny Machado called up last night. Machado vs. Segura?

    I have a third question that maybe you have some insight on…why is Estrada giving up so many HRs? (magnified by his teammate Fiers’ 3 HRs with both around 80.0 innings)

    ReplyReply
  2. User avatar daullaz says:

    Lopez, Machado and some pitchers just give up HRs. They’re both flyball pitchers, so I’d call Fiers more of the anomaly than Estrada, though both should regress in the category.

    ReplyReply

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