StrategyJuly 7, 2011

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Home/Away Splits

By Brandon Gray

Streaming pitchers can be a good way to add a few quality starts or wins while not affecting your ERA and WHIP.  Unfortunately, if you are not careful, streaming pitchers can cost you in ways that are hard to make up later.  Despite the players I showcase below, remember to do your homework.  You should check into opponents, previous matchups, and recent outings among others.

Below are 10 pitchers with large home and away splits.  I focused the list on players that you may be able to find on the waiver wire.

Home Sweet Home

Livan Hernandez (Home ERA: 2.49, Away ERA: 5.13)
Opponents are hitting just .244 off Hernandez at home this year.  His home K/BB ratio of 4.88 is eigthth in the majors.  He is also the top strikeout pitcher of the group at 5.72 K/9.

Clayton Richard (Home ERA: 2.30, Away ERA: 5.30)
Through 47 innings, Richard has allowed only two home runs at Petco Park this year.

John Lannan (Home ERA: 2.06, Away ERA: 5.18)
Lannan brings a 1.11 home WHIP to the table.  Opponents are batting a measly .218 off him.

Brad Penny (Home ERA: 3.06, Away ERA: 6.69)
In 64.2 innings, Penny has walked 12 batters and allowed just 22 extra base hits.

Mike Pelfrey (Home ERA: 2.96, Away ERA: 6.75)
Pelfrey currently sports a 1.09 WHIP at home.  He is continuing his home success from 2010, when he posted a 2.83 ERA and allowed just 4 home runs in 124 innings.

Honorable Mention for the likely owned: Jaime Garcia, Edwin Jackson, Cliff Lee, Ryan Dempster, Clayton Kershaw.

Glory Road

Derek Holland (Home ERA: 6.80, Away ERA: 3.72)
Holland is striking out a respectable 6.79 batters per 9 on the road.  He has given up his share of long balls (9) but has a BABIP almost 100 points lower on the road than in Arlington.

Kevin Correia (Home ERA: 5.40, Away ERA: 2.71)
Correia currently has a 1.09 WHIP at home, and opponents are batting only .218 off him.

Ivan Nova (Home ERA: 4.91, Away ERA: 3.12)
Unfortunately, Nova is currently back in Triple-A for the time being.  His future in the bigs for this season may rest in the arm of Phil Hughes.  If Hughes can throw faster than 62 MPH this time around, he may secure his position.  Away from Yankee Stadium, Nova has a WHIP of 1.29 and has allowed only one home run in 40.1 innings compared to his eight gopher balls at home.

Joe Saunders (Home ERA: 4.94, Away ERA: 3.32)
Saunders has some underlying numbers that do not suggest his 3.32 road ERA is legit.  I would use him only in very favorable matchups.  His road WHIP currently sits at 1.21.

Jason Hammel (Home ERA: 4.92, Away ERA: 3.48)
The main difference in Hammel’s home and away starts are a result of the long ball.  On the road, he has allowed just two home runs in 44 innings.  At home however, he’s given up nine homers in 60.1 innings.  So as usual, unless it’s an ace, you don’t start pitchers at Coors Field.

Honorable Mention for the likely owned: Ubaldo Jimenez, Colby Lewis, Shaun Marcum.

Feel free to leave comments; I will respond to any questions.

Brandon can be found at home being a dad and novice landscaper, in the corporate office being a hamster, on the diamond being a softball coach, or at Fenway Park enjoying a frank. You can follow Brandon on Twitter (@bginda2g).
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