StrategyJuly 2, 2011


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Double Dipper: Carrasco Sauce Heats It Up

By R.J. White

To some extent, building a list of two-start pitchers in the upcoming week is a bit of guesswork. We essentially know when most starters will be on the mound thanks to the “every-fifth-day” mentality of rotations nowadays, but minor injuries, fatigue and weather, among other factors, can conspire to wreak havoc on your potential Double Dippers. Just last week, I thought I would have Josh Beckett for two starts — turns out I didn’t get any from him. I bring this up because the All-Star Break is only a week away, and managers often use it as an excuse to give certain guys a little more rest, or to surprisingly pitch one guy a day early to give him an extra start (and save him from using his arm in the All-Star game itself).

While there are virtually no off-days for MLB teams next week, keeping the above in mind makes compiling a full list of Double Dippers a bit of a fool’s errand. I’ll refer you to Rotoworld’s The Week Ahead article for a full list of projected two-start guys, while I’ll highlight a few guys that are available in most Yahoo leagues below (players listed with Y! ownership percentage).

49% Carlos Carrasco, SP, CLE (vs NYY, vs TOR)
Carrasco has pitched five excellent games in a row, allowing four earned runs in that span, with three as a result of solo HRs. He’s obviously doing an excellent job keeping people off base, and it’s resulted in a WHIP of 1.16 heading into this week. His opponents this week are tough, but he did shut out the Yankees in New York as part of his recent hot streak.

35% Matt Harrison, SP, TEX (vs BAL, vs OAK)
After a string of three straight one-run performances, Harrison was lambasted in his most recent start, surrendering five runs in six innings to baseball’s worst team. The dud brought his ERA up to a still-respectable 3.30; with that mark, he’s worth checking out in a Double Dipper.

34% Randy Wolf, SP, MIL (vs ARI, vs CIN)
Wolf has been going deep into games lately, as he’s completed seven frames in each of his last four starts. That gives him a stronger chance at earning you a win — he’s 2-1 during that four-game stretch. With a 3.33 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 76:33 K:BB ratio, you could argue that Wolf deserves a place on your roster for more than just this week.

20% Mark Buehrle, SP, CWS (vs KC, vs MIN)
Buehrle may not do much for your strikeout numbers, but he’s still a serviceable pitcher in spots, with a 3.65 ERA and 1.31 WHIP this season. In fact, he hasn’t given up more than three runs in a start since April 22, and he’s completed six innings in all but one of those games. His schedule this week seems conducive to a win or two.

10% Chris Capuano, SP, NYM (@ LAD, @ SF)
Over the last two months, Capuano has allowed two runs or less eight times and five runs or more in his other three starts. As the owner of a 77:24 K:BB ratio, take comfort in the fact that he’s more likely to be great than terrible in any particular start. Despite allowing five runs in his recent start against the Tigers, Capuano has recorded 13 strikeouts and no walks over his last two starts. Sounds like he’s on a roll.

8% Paul Maholm, SP, PIT (vs HOU, vs CHC)
Maholm has managed to rack up just four strikeouts or fewer in each of his last seven starts, yet he’s allowed a total of seven runs over his last five games. I don’t have to tell you that he’s a much worse bet than his 3.17 ERA and 1.21 WHIP would indicate, but with two home starts on tap, one coming against the league’s worst team, he’s a nice option for those looking for a Double Dipper.

 
R.J. White is the head editor at the Cafe, writes for FanDuel and Razzball and has previously written for FanHouse. Catch up with him in the forums under the name daullaz. Follow him on Twitter; don't follow him in real life.
 
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