SleepersApril 11, 2011

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Sleeper Watch

By David Bay

Welcome to Streaming Sleepers, a new daily article on the Cafe.  Every day, we’ll cover the best streaming options for fantasy owners in need of direction.  We’ll choose one specific pitcher daily, and track our season statistics to see how we’ve fared.  I’ve made selections over the last week, chronicling them here — skim through it if you’d like to catch up a bit, and the first post explains more about why I decided to try serious streaming.

Here’s a quick breakdown if you’re in a hurry. Options will be presented daily, one Streamer will be selected and have their stats added to the running total, pitchers owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues are eligible, and I’ll update you on how my Yahoo team with a streamed pitching staff is doing.

Note: Our numbers might be a bit inflated, since I’m choosing a pitcher daily.  If you were more selective you could likely lower your ratios. Remember, sometimes the best streamer is an empty roster spot.  Also, I’ll give you a few different options each day, since some people may be looking for Ks while others search for wins.

Enough background information, let’s get on with the streaming! Tuesday’s starters provide some intriguing matchups for streaming, some riskier than others, such as our first option.

Fausto Carmona (CLE) @ LAA – 17%

Carmona had a very good outing in his last start, tossing seven innings of two-hit shutout ball against the struggling Red Sox.  He certainly has the stuff to throw a gem when he’s on.  He faces the Angels on Tuesday, a team against which he’s historically pitched well (2.05 ERA in 30.2 innings).  Sounds good right?  There’s always a catch, and this time it’s Carmona’s tendency to get rocked, as evidenced by his first start, when he allowed 10 earned runs.  That’s what I call a week wrecker.  It’s all or nothing with Carmona, and I’m not quite ready to trust him yet.

Michael Pineda (SEA) vs TOR – 32%

Any rookie that heads to Texas for his first start and comes out alive is fine by me.  Pineda impressed in his first major league outing, limiting the potent Rangers to three runs on five hits through six innings.  He gets a more favorable matchup tomorrow at home, despite facing the power packed Jays.  Look for Pineda to be my pick later in the month, when he faces Oakland at home.

Sam LeCure (CIN) @ SD – 1%

LeCure won’t dazzle anyone with a filthy repertoire, but he can be effective when he’s locating well.  Plus, Petco will cover up many of a pitcher’s mistakes.  LeCure was solid in his first start of the season (ND, 5 IP, 3 H, 2 BB, 2 ER, 6 K), and he should be a safe option come Tuesday.

Streaming Sleepers Pick:

Brian Duensing (MIN) vs KC – 20%

Much like Pineda, Duensing went into a hostile environment (the Cracker Jack box they call Yankee Stadium) in his first start and came out largely unscathed (ND, 7 IP, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 ER, 7 K).  The 28 year old lefty gets the Royals at home in his second turn, a much better matchup.  Duensing went 6-1 with a 2.00 ERA at roomy Target Field last season.  Some of that was out of the bullpen, but he did make six starts.  In addition to his great home numbers, Duensing has handled the Royals well (3.33 ERA in 27 IP). He should be able to lower our season ratios and provide some help in the strikeout department.

That’s it for Tuesday, but one last thing — Clayton Richard gets a shout out and isn’t a bad option at home versus the Reds.  I look forward to a long season of streaming and getting some feedback from you.  Happy streaming.

Special thanks to Drew Loutey, my statistician and the first person to point out every time my streamer gets rocked and his pick gets a win.

David Bay is one of a growing number of fantasy experts who write for the Cafe. You can catch up with David in the Cafe's forums where he posts under the name of BayBear.
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