SleepersJune 3, 2011


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Sleeper Watch

By David Bay

Tim Stauffer is pitching in the late game tonight, so instead of a recap of his start we’ll mosey right on to the weekend picks.

Saturday

Aaron Harang (SD) vs HOU – 39%

Harang scares me a lot. Despite the fear he evokes in me, Harang has a lot going for him. The Fathers right hander is on a roll in his last three starts, posting a 1.29 ERA in 21 innings. Those numbers are impressive, but they really jump out when you look at his opponents: the Cardinals, Brewers, and Braves, three very potent offenses. Now for the frightening part: fifteen. Why is fifteen a significant number? That’s the number of earned runs Harang has allowed in his two worst starts. Fifteen is one more than he’s allowed in all of his other starts combined, without those two starts Harang has a 2.21 ERA on the season. 80% of the time Harang is fantastic, but when he’s not, he’s terrible. Here’s to living dangerously.

Options: Dillon Gee vs ATL, Doug Fister vs TB

Sunday

Bartolo Colon (NYY) @ LAA – 42%

Complete game shutout and backed by a great offense. I think that’s enough reason to stream Colon for this start, so we won’t delve further. Instead, we’ll talk about another Sunday option since “Big Bus Bartolo” is likely long gone in any competitive league. Jordan Lyles, a rookie starter for the Houston Astros, faces the Padres on Sunday in his second career start. His first start was in Chicago and it went quite well. He went seven innings, allowing only five hits, two earned runs, and no walks, the most important part of the stat line being the absence of walks. Lyles showed great control and proved that he’s not going to be intimidated by big league hitters. Prior to being called up Lyles was pitching well for AAA Oklahoma City with an ERA of 3.20 in 10 starts. Before this season, Baseball America ranked him as the 42nd best prospect in baseball and the Astros top prospect. Plus, anyone that makes Carlos Zambrano do this is fine by me. P.S, maybe it’s just the uniform, but doesn’t he look like a taller Roy Oswalt?

Options: Jordan Lyles @ SD, Ryan Vogelsong vs COL

Monday

Brian Matusz (BAL) vs OAK – 48%

The Monday streaming selection is very thin so making the choice wasn’t difficult at all. Matusz is the only starter I’d feel comfortable adding to my lineup. He was sharp in his first start, cruising through five and two-thirds innings, allowing only four hits and one earned run. This likely will be Matusz’s only stream of the year since his ownership is likely to soar after his next start. I urge you to stream him and hang on to the Baltimore lefty, it’ll be worth it.

 
David Bay has a BA in Economics from San Jose State University and has been playing fantasy sports since 2004. You can keep track of his work on his blog, streamingsleepers.wordpress.com, or on the forums under the username BayBear. He enjoys long walks on the beach, Sabermetrics, and situational hitting.
 
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