SleepersMay 11, 2011

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Sleeper Watch

By David Bay

What does it take for one of our streamers to get a win? Apparently it’s a great outing and the ability to provide your own offense, which is exactly what Travis Wood accomplished on Monday. The Reds’ lefty threw 6.2 shutout innings and provided all the offense he needed with a three-run blast off of his counterpart (That hop says he’s hit a few before). It’s always extra special when your pitcher has more RBIs than the team he’s pitching against. Let’s take a closer look at how Wood fared against the Astros.

Travis Wood


Season Totals:


Our numbers are coming along nicely close to a month and a half into the season. For a bit of perspective, our numbers so far are very similar to the season totals of Francisco Liriano, Gio Gonzalez, C.J. Wilson, and Chad Billingsley in 2010. While those four are not fantasy aces, they are very good second or third SPs that are sure to be owned in your league. Instead of needing to draft them, you could pick a hitter in their place and end up with a much stronger offense. By the end of the season we should have accrued enough statistics to take the place of over five second or third SPs and only using one roster spot to do it, an impressive feat that should lead to winning the majority of leagues in which you apply the strategy. That’s enough analysis for now; on to Wednesday’s streamer.

Scott Baker (MIN) vs DET – 34%

Normally I skim through the probable starters for the day, pick out a few favorable matchups or pitchers throwing well, and then further analyze some statistics to see who has the best chance to succeed. No such analysis was needed for Wednesday, as Baker was so far ahead of his peers I didn’t even waste time looking for something that wasn’t there. Baker has been dominate in his last four starts, allowing only five runs in 28.1 IP (1.59 ERA) while striking out 25 batters. His success has come from his ability to limit gopher balls which have been his biggest nemesis the last few years. He’s only allowed two in his last four starts, with both of those being solo shots. If he can continue to keep the ball in the park he should have success against the Tigers on Wednesday.

David Bay has a BA in Economics from San Jose State University and has been playing fantasy sports since 2004. You can keep track of his work on his blog,, or on the forums under the username BayBear. He enjoys long walks on the beach, Sabermetrics, and situational hitting.
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