StrategyFebruary 27, 2010


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30 Teams in 30 Days: Minnesota Twins - 2 comments

By Kirk Beiser

Next up on the ’30 teams in 30 days’ schedule is the Minnesota Twins. After a busy off-season the Twins are expected to contend for another AL Central title this season. The Twins will also begin play in Target Field this season which has fueled the recent spending spree by the team.

Offensive Starters

 2009 StatsAVGOBPSLGRHRRBISBABnotes
CJoe Mauer.365.444.5879428964523 
1BJustin Morneau.274.363.51685301000508 
2BOrlando Hudson.283.357.417749628551w/LAD
3BBrendan Harris.261.310.362446370414 
SSJ.J. Hardy.229.302.3575311470414w/MIL
CFDenard Span.311.392.4159786823578 
OFDelmon Young.284.308.4255012602395 
OFMichael Cuddyer.276.342.5209332946588 
DHJason Kubel.300.369.53973281031514 

Unsettled: Third Base and Delmon Young. The Twins will open 2010 with a combination of Brendan Harris, Nick Punto and possibly Matt Tolbert at 3B. Fantasy owners will want to avoid this situation regardless of who wins the starting position. 3B prospect Danny Valencia will likely be promoted to the starting position but he doesn’t possess much upside. Delmon Young ended an otherwise lackluster season with a big September (.340/.364/.544/.907). He will need to show that wasn’t a fluke since the Twins brought in Jim Thome as an insurance policy (Jason Kubel to LF).

Target: These are not the small ball Twins that you remember. Four players hit 28 or more homeruns last season. If you aren’t able to get MVP Joe Mauer then Justin Morneau is the player to target. He still hit 30 homeruns last year despite missing the end of the season with an injury. Two other guys to grab are Jason Kubel and Michael Cuddyer who will have a lot of RBI opportunities with four strong OBP hitters in front of them. They should return good value if drafted in the 11th round or later.

The Rotation

2009 StatsW-LERAWHIPKBBIPNotes
Francisco Liriano5-135.801.5512265136.2 
Scott Baker15-94.371.1916248200 
Kevin Slowey10-34.861.41751590.2 
Nick Blackburn11-114.031.379841205.1 
Carl Pavano14-125.101.3714739199.1w/2T

Unsettled: Francisco Liriano was absolutely terrible last year. He started games with a 0.721 OPS thru the first 3 innings but he then collapsed in the 4th inning allowing opposing hitters to hit a .940 OPS for the rest of the game. He did have a great winter league and received glowing scouting reports (best shape of his life). While fantasy owners shouldn’t get excited about winter league stats there is no denying that he still has the talent. The Twins likely will start out with Liriano in the rotation but they could move him to the bullpen if he performs like 2009. Brian Duensing will get the first opportunity if that happens or if an injury occurs in the rotation.

Target: Liriano should be watched and makes for a good sleeper if he falls in your fantasy draft. But Scott Baker is the Twins starting pitcher to target. His spring training was interrupted with a minor arm injury last year. He only missed one or two starts but pitched awful in April (9.82 ERA) and May (4.97 ERA). In the second half last year he went 8-2 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. You can’t expect those numbers but he should be an excellent value in fantasy drafts this year.

The 8th and 9th Innings

2009 StatsSVERAWHIPKBBIPNotes
Joe Nathan472.100.93892268.2 
Jon Rauch23.601.33492370w/2T

Chasing Saves: Joe Nathan is easily a top 5 closer and is a lock for around 40 saves and great ratios. He did have bone chips removed from his elbow this off-season and this should be monitored during spring training. But expectations are that Nathan will be 100% for the season. After acquiring Jon Rauch last August the Twins now feature a deep bullpen. Rauch is expected to be the main 8th inning guy but Matt Guerrier and Jose Mijares (LHP) will also be used.

Final Thoughts

Expectations will be high this season after an active off-season and with Target Field opening this year. The fantasy options are led by Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer, but the offensive firepower doesn’t end there with Michael Cuddyer, Jason Kubel and Denard Span expected to be valuable fantasy players this season. Francisco Liriano might be the high upside pick in the starting rotation but Scott Baker is potentially a gem for fantasy owners. Don’t be surprised if you have several Twins on your fantasy team when you are finished. This team is loaded with solid contributors. Good luck this season.

 
Kirk Beiser is a lifelong Twins fan. He's currently in Taiwan drifting aimlessly around the world (and playing a little fantasy baseball when possible). You can catch up with Kirk in the Cafe's forums where he posts under the name of kab21.
 
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2 Responses to “30 Teams in 30 Days: Minnesota Twins”

  1. User avatar MashinSpuds says:

    Ah, so last year was the last time I’ll be able to draft Scott Baker unnoticed. Aside from all that long ball, it was fun while it lasted.

    Do you think the Twins will win the division?

    ReplyReply
  2. User avatar AquaMan2342 says:

    I don’t see why Baker can’t extrapolate those numbers over a full season (says guy who drafted him).

    ReplyReply

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