StrategyJuly 25, 2009

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Double Dipper: In with the New…and also with the Old

By Michael Marinakis

Welcome to the next installment of the Double Dipper series, where we check out the upcoming week’s two-start pitchers and give weekly-league owners some strategic pickups to give you a leg up over your opponents. My picks last week did quite well, with two of the three having dominate performances in wins and the third struggling a bit but putting up a “quality start”. Andy Pettitte struck out eight Baltimore hitters in his win (7.1 IP, 6 hits, 1 ER, 2 BB, 8 Ks), Jorge De La Rosa shut down the Diamondbacks in his win (7 IP, 4 hits, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 Ks) and Chad Gaudin ended up with a loss against Florida (6 IP, 9 hits, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 Ks). With Pettitte starting against a Holliday-less Oakland team tomorrow, De La Rosa going up against a punch-less Giants offense, and Gaudin going up against a Washington team making a run at the loss record, my picks have the potential to put up a huge week.

Now on to next week, we’ll take a look at the two-start pitchers that are available in 50-95% of Yahoo leagues. Then, I’ll analyze the best options on this list and give you my thoughts on who is worth a spot start next week. If you like streaming in your weekly-lineup league or you’ve simply have an extra roster spot to burn, check out our suggestions below.

PitcherStart 1Start 2% Owned
Oliver Perez*vs COLvs ARZ14%
Braden Loopervs WAS@SD7%
Armando Galarraga@TEXvs SEA18%
Glen Perkins*vs CWSvs LAA5%
Jamie Moyer*@ARZ@SF11%
Carl Pavano@LAAvs DET10%
Paul Maholm*@SFvs WAS29%
Brian Bannister@BAL@TB15%
Vin Mazzaro@BOSvs TOR7%
Clay Buchholzvs OAK@BAL23%
Kevin Correia@CINvs MIL10%
Bronson Arroyovs SDvs COL20%
Mike Pelfreyvs COLvs ARZ30%
Barry Zito*vs PITvs PHI10%


Mixed League Pick
Clay Buchholz
The pickings are looking slim this week and while Buchholz isn’t the safest pick of the bunch, I think he pretty clearly has the most potential to go out and put up a big week. In his last two starts since being called up by the Red Sox, he hasn’t quite shown why he is such a highly touted prospect, walking five and striking out six in 9.2 innings. However, after a quick look at who he faced in those two starts, it’s tough to hold it against the young right-hander as he went up against two powerful offenses in Texas and Toronto. After a couple tough opponents to start the season, Buchholz will get a major reprieve in his next start. If anyone can bring out the ace in a pitcher, it’s a start against the Oakland A’s, one of the leagues worst offenses in baseball which only got worse when their cleanup hitter, Matt Holliday, was traded away yesterday. With the potent Red Sox line up for support, it’s looking good for Buchholz to pick up his second win of the season.

In his second start, Buchholz will face the Orioles in Baltimore. The Baltimore offense sits pretty much in the middle of the pack in the majors and while they are quite a bit tougher than the A’s, they aren’t a team that should cause too much worry. The combination of Jason Berken (Baltimore’s starter) and the Red Sox offense should give Buchholz a very realistic shot at a win if he can manage to get through five innings. If you’re looking to supplement your win total this week Buchholz is your man and he definitely has the potential for more against these two teams.

Deep League pick (Owned <10%)
Jamie Moyer
OK, so he shouldn’t really qualify as a deep league pick as he’s owned in 11% of yahoo leagues, but it’s close enough for me. Especially when you look at the other options for this pick, yikes. Moyer isn’t what you would call a sexy pick, but at 46-years old the man can still get it done. While his 5.65 ERA doesn’t inspire confidence, there are three factors which lead me to think he has some value as a spot start this week.

First off, he’ll be facing a weak offense in Arizona followed by one of the league’s worst offenses in San Francisco. It’s pretty much impossible for a starter not to throw at least a quality start against the Giants who have scored only 19 runs in the eight games since the all-star break. Second, Moyer’s performance away from the bandbox in Philadelphia has been pretty decent this year (4.38 ERA, 1.29 WHIP) and was very good in 2008 (2.92 ERA, 1.20 WHIP). While Chase Field isn’t exact a pitcher’s paradise, he has pitched well there in his career (though a small sample). Finally, he has the best offense in the National League for support and the Phillies as a team have been on fire lately. This helps his case for a win against the Diamondbacks, though with Tim Lincecum as his opposition in his start against the Giants, that may be the only win he has a chance at this week.

Michael Marinakis is a 24-year-old unemployed fantasy addict. You can find him roaming the Cafe all day where he posts as GiantsFan14 and waits for Bruce Bochy to be fired for incompetency.
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