SleepersMarch 5, 2008

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Sleeper Watch

By Steve Smith

Dustin McGowan could have a tremendous year for Toronto as well as your fantasy team. This 25-year-old has a 6′3″, 225 lb frame, and potential to improve on his stats from last year that included 12 wins, 144 strikeouts, 4.08 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and a .230 batting average against in 169.2 innings. His second half stats made his fantasy owners drool, as he had 12 starts where he struck out over six and left hitters confused, holding them to a .217 batting average.

Projected as Toronto’s #3 starter, he is a middle round pick that can easily earn high statistical rewards. With growing maturity, he has the potential for 15 wins, 160 strikeouts, and an ERA under 4.00. With solid offensive support from Alex Rios, Aaron Hill, Vernon Wells, and Frank Thomas, this Georgia Peach should have sufficient run support to meet those numbers and become a solid #2 starter on your team. The question to be answered is: can he meet, or even exceed, the numbers of Toronto ace, Roy Halladay?

To prepare for your draft, you should know that in ESPN leagues his average draft position is 188th – lower than that of Dontrelle Willis, Ted Lilly, and Ian Snell. In Yahoo, he holds an overall ranking of 157th, which is lower than Chad Billingsley, Joba Chamberlain, and Matt Cain – all of whom he should outperform. On FantasyAuctioneer, his auction value is cheap at $2.

McGowan is a great buy low option that is young enough to become something special not only for his team, but for yours as well.

Steve Smith has been a Cafe member since 2004 and a regular fantasy league player since 1999. He specializes in football and baseball. He is a Jr. High teacher that uses fantasy sports in lessons periodically. Catch up with Steve in the Cafe forums where he posts as redwings122.
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