Sleeper Watch

It’s been said that there are only two types of fantasy closers: overhyped and underrated. While that may or may not be true, there are certainly closer bargains to be had in this year’s drafts. Along with previously mentioned players such as Danny Graves or Bob Wickman, new Twins fireman Joe Nathan is a prime example.

Nathan had an excellent season last year, posting a 1.06 WHIP and a 2.96 ERA in 78 appearances for the Giants en route to winning 12 games. Despite pitching in middle relief, his 2003 numbers were good enough to earn $14 in 12-team NL-only leagues ($8 in mixed leagues). This season, following a trade for AJ Pierzynski, Nathan will be closing games for the Twins, and his fantasy value should increase significantly.

Certainly, Nathan was aided by playing his home games in San Francisco last season (0.93 WHIP, .180 BAA at home; 1.20/.193 on the road). Yet his fundamentals are sound, and he should have little trouble making the adjustment to his new environment and role. The Metrodome, while not a pitchers’ paradise like Pac Bell, is by no means a hitters’ park, and Nathan, who posted a K/BB mark of 2.5 while striking out more than one batter per inning, appears to have both the confidence and the necessary arsenal of pitches to succeed as a closer.

Nonetheless, many fantasy owners have Joe Nathan ranked very low on their draft lists, below other relievers with injury concerns or stiffer competition for the closer’s role. If he slips in your draft, consider adding him to your bullpen.